AGCO Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
AGCO's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -17.5%, while the Machinery industry saw earnings growing at 8.3% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 0.2% per year. AGCO's return on equity is 16.6%, and it has net margins of 7.4%.
Key information
-17.55%
Earnings growth rate
-17.36%
EPS growth rate
| Machinery Industry Growth | 8.77% |
| Revenue growth rate | -0.19% |
| Return on equity | 16.61% |
| Net Margin | 7.43% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 03
AGCO: Tariff Relief And Mixed Regional Trends Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for AGCO up from $102.00 to $105.00, pointing to updated tariff relief that supports earnings potential for agricultural equipment makers, and also reflecting revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around AGCO is mixed, with some analysts highlighting tariff relief as a modest earnings tailwind while others are leaning more cautious on the stock's risk and reward trade off.Analysis Article • May 13
AGCO's (NYSE:AGCO) Earnings Seem To Be Promising
The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from AGCO Corporation ( NYSE:AGCO ) despite the...Narrative Update • May 02
AGCO: Rising Expectations On Execution Will Likely Cap Future Share Upside
The analyst price target for AGCO has been revised from $93.99 to $102.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AGCO has centered on a series of price target adjustments, with most activity tied to updated assumptions for revenue, margins, and the P/E that analysts are comfortable using.Seeking Alpha • Apr 26
AGCO Corporation: Strong Execution Isn't Enough For A Bull Case Yet (Rating Upgrade)
Summary AGCO Corporation is upgraded from 'sell' to 'hold' as management demonstrates resilience amid deteriorating agricultural market conditions. Despite industry headwinds, AGCO's Q4 2025 saw revenue and adjusted profits rise, with strong performance in Europe and the Middle East. Management guides for 2026 sales of $10.4–$10.7 billion and adjusted EPS of $5.50–$6, reflecting cautious optimism and ongoing innovation. AGCO trades at reasonable valuations, particularly on EV/EBITDA, but industry risks and regional weaknesses warrant a neutral stance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 17
AGCO: Margin Risk Debate Will Spotlight 2026 Earnings Power Outlook
AGCO's analyst price target has been reset to $152.00. The tweak in supporting assumptions reflects a mix of recent target increases across several firms, fresh caution around margin risk, and a new bearish call from one broker.Narrative Update • Apr 03
AGCO: Rising Street Confidence Will Highlight Updated Earnings Power Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price targets on AGCO by increments ranging from $4 to $18, reflecting updated views that incorporate modestly higher revenue growth, slightly firmer profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower discount rate, while leaving long term fair value estimates largely unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a consistent tilt toward higher valuation targets for AGCO, with several bullish analysts revising their models to reflect updated assumptions on revenue, margins, and discount rates.Narrative Update • Mar 20
AGCO: Higher Street Expectations Will Highlight Updated Earnings Power Outlook
Analysts recently lifted the price target on AGCO to $152, reflecting updated assumptions around higher revenue growth, a slightly different discount rate, and modestly adjusted profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around AGCO has centered on a cluster of price target increases, signalling a constructive tone from several bullish analysts even as some research highlights potential margin risk tied to Europe tariffs.
Narrative Update • Mar 06
AGCO: Future Precision Equipment Demand Will Test Europe Tariff Margin Resilience
AGCO's updated analyst price target has increased by a mid-teens dollar amount, as analysts point to modest tweaks in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions to support their refreshed views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AGCO clusters around updated price targets and refreshed assumptions, with most analysts fine tuning their models rather than completely rethinking the story.Narrative Update • Feb 19
AGCO: Mid Cycle Outlook Balances Precision Aftermarket Strength With Europe Tariff Margin Risks
The analyst price target for AGCO has been raised from about $118.50 to roughly $128.57, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples highlighted in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of upward price target revisions on AGCO, alongside at least one cautionary view around potential margin headwinds.Analysis Article • Feb 05
AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.29
AGCO Corporation ( NYSE:AGCO ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.29 per share on the 16th of March...Narrative Update • Feb 05
AGCO: Precision Agriculture Aftermarket And Tariff Risks Will Shape Mid Cycle Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price targets on AGCO higher into a tighter $114 to $120 range, citing a mix of support for the aftermarket and precision agriculture story, along with fresh tariff related margin concerns in Europe. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AGCO centers on a mid range view, with analysts weighing the appeal of its aftermarket and precision agriculture focus against fresh questions on European tariff exposure and where the stock sits in the machinery cycle.Narrative Update • Jan 22
AGCO: Precision Agriculture Aftermarket Will Support Margins While Tariff Risks Persist
Analysts have trimmed their AGCO fair value estimate by about $1 to $118.50, reflecting slightly lower assumed revenue growth and P/E expectations, while still seeing support from the company's precision agriculture positioning and recent price target increases from several firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have raised AGCO price targets into the US$114 to US$120 range, which indicates they see the current P/E as reasonable relative to the company’s earnings profile.Analysis Article • Jan 19
AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.29
The board of AGCO Corporation ( NYSE:AGCO ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 16th of March, with...Narrative Update • Jan 07
AGCO: Mid-Cycle Focus On Precision Aftermarket Will Likely Limit Share Upside
Narrative Update The analyst price target for AGCO has been adjusted to a range of $114 to $116, with analysts pointing to the company's aftermarket precision agriculture focus, improving machinery inventories, and a balanced mid cycle valuation profile as key drivers for their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on AGCO centers on a neutral stance, with analysts flagging both the appeal of its aftermarket precision agriculture focus and several reasons to stay cautious at current levels.Analysis Article • Jan 05
What Is AGCO Corporation's (NYSE:AGCO) Share Price Doing?
While AGCO Corporation ( NYSE:AGCO ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...Narrative Update • Dec 24
AGCO: Mid-Cycle Positioning Will Likely Cap Upside Despite Improving Inventories
Analysts have nudged their fair value target for AGCO higher from $84 to about $94, supported by a more constructive view on revenue growth, improving inventory dynamics in agricultural machinery, and a preference for the company’s aftermarket precision agriculture positioning, even as they maintain a balanced and mid-cycle stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on AGCO highlights a more nuanced tone beneath the headline price target increases.Analysis Article • Dec 21
Does AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narrative Update • Dec 10
AGCO: Aftermarket Precision Agriculture Will Drive Upside As Sector Inventories Normalize
Analysts have made a modest downward revision to their AGCO price target, trimming it by approximately $0.30 to about $119.60. They are balancing optimism around the company’s aftermarket precision agriculture strategy and improving agriculture inventories with a preference for other machinery names at this point in the cycle.Narrative Update • Nov 25
AGCO: Improving Sector Inventories Will Support Performance Despite Tariff Risks Ahead
AGCO's analyst price target has seen a marginal increase of less than $1 to approximately $119.86. Analysts cite improved agriculture inventories and stabilization in sector expectations, despite persisting tariff-related risks.Narrative Update • Nov 11
AGCO: Improving Machinery Inventories Will Support Execution Despite Tariff Headwinds
AGCO's fair value estimate has decreased slightly from $121.62 to $119.77 per share as analysts adjust price targets in response to updated sector tariffs and evolving industry conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent street research presents a balanced outlook for AGCO, highlighting both potential upside and significant challenges in the face of evolving industry dynamics and trade policies.Narrative Update • Oct 28
Tariff Pressures And Digital Focus Will Transform Agriculture By 2026
Analysts have modestly adjusted AGCO's fair value target downward to $121.62 from $121.85, citing industry headwinds such as updated tariffs and tempered growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AGCO reflect both optimism and caution among Street analysts, as they assess the company in light of broader industry developments, including shifting tariffs and evolving growth prospects.Narrative Update • Oct 13
Premium Brands And Digital Solutions Will Reshape Agriculture
AGCO's analyst price target was decreased by $2 to $135, as analysts adjusted estimates to account for the impact of recently expanded steel and aluminum tariffs on agricultural equipment makers. Analyst Commentary Analysts have recently weighed in on AGCO’s stock, reevaluating their positions in light of evolving policy and market conditions.Analysis Article • Sep 08
Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On AGCO Corporation (NYSE:AGCO)
AGCO Corporation's ( NYSE:AGCO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a buy right now...Analysis Article • Aug 15
AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.29
The board of AGCO Corporation ( NYSE:AGCO ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of September, with...Analysis Article • Aug 08
We Think You Can Look Beyond AGCO's (NYSE:AGCO) Lackluster Earnings
NYSE:AGCO 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore AGCO's Fair Values from the Community and select yours AGCO...Analysis Article • Jul 31
AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.29
The board of AGCO Corporation ( NYSE:AGCO ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of September, with...Analysis Article • Jul 15
AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.29
AGCO Corporation's ( NYSE:AGCO ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.29 per share on 15th of September. This...Analysis Article • Jul 13
Does AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Feb 14
AGCO's 2025 Outlook: Is A Turnaround On The Horizon?
Summary AGCO recently reported Q4 and FY24 earnings. While it was given for granted that last year's performance would have been poor, all eyes were on the 2025 outlook AGCO released. In this article, we analyze what should be down the road for the owner of the Fendt brand and what the current valuation of the stock suggests. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How AGCO makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 10,374 | 771 | 1,333 | 504 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 10,082 | 727 | 1,321 | 488 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 10,049 | 375 | 1,326 | 460 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 10,172 | 100 | 1,328 | 458 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 10,784 | -582 | 1,380 | 478 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 11,662 | -425 | 1,404 | 493 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 12,575 | 170 | 1,486 | 541 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 13,432 | 421 | 1,497 | 559 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 14,008 | 1,107 | 1,468 | 560 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 14,412 | 1,171 | 1,450 | 549 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 14,511 | 1,155 | 1,374 | 530 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 14,177 | 1,112 | 1,304 | 495 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 13,299 | 970 | 1,257 | 464 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 12,651 | 890 | 1,197 | 444 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 11,908 | 850 | 1,156 | 422 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 11,511 | 793 | 1,134 | 410 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 11,445 | 898 | 1,103 | 410 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 11,138 | 897 | 1,088 | 406 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 10,700 | 750 | 1,093 | 396 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 10,473 | 726 | 1,086 | 385 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 9,600 | 513 | 1,033 | 354 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 9,150 | 427 | 1,023 | 343 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 8,946 | 203 | 1,012 | 332 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 8,558 | 54 | 1,001 | 332 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 8,974 | 125 | 1,043 | 344 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 9,041 | 125 | 1,057 | 343 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 9,120 | 312 | 1,055 | 342 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 9,225 | 376 | 1,069 | 343 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 9,340 | 326 | 1,080 | 349 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 9,352 | 286 | 1,079 | 355 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 9,287 | 231 | 1,078 | 361 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 9,059 | 221 | 1,050 | 357 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 8,686 | 221 | 1,012 | 341 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 8,307 | 186 | 971 | 323 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 7,873 | 204 | 918 | 312 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 7,648 | 183 | 898 | 298 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 7,479 | 142 | 880 | 298 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 7,411 | 160 | 867 | 298 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 7,276 | 160 | 866 | 286 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 7,250 | 187 | 857 | 290 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 7,324 | 244 | 853 | 285 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 7,467 | 266 | 852 | 282 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 7,994 | 282 | 875 | 295 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 8,412 | 280 | 891 | 303 |
Quality Earnings: AGCO has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: AGCO became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: AGCO's earnings have declined by 17.5% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: AGCO has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: AGCO has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Machinery industry (4.2%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: AGCO's Return on Equity (16.6%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/04 17:20 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AGCO Corporation is covered by 32 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mircea Dobre | Baird |
| Adam Seiden | Barclays |
| Andrew Kaplowitz | Barclays |