Stock Analysis

Would Xometry (NASDAQ:XMTR) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

NasdaqGS:XMTR
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Xometry

How Much Debt Does Xometry Carry?

As you can see below, Xometry had US$282.7m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$240.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$41.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:XMTR Debt to Equity History October 2nd 2024

How Healthy Is Xometry's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Xometry had liabilities of US$70.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$291.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$240.9m as well as receivables valued at US$71.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$49.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Xometry has a market capitalization of US$905.6m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Xometry's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Xometry reported revenue of US$502m, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Xometry still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$67m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$47m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Xometry , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.