Xometry Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Xometry is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 109.3% and 17.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 110.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.6% in 3 years.
Key information
109.3%
Earnings growth rate
110.34%
EPS growth rate
| Trade Distributors earnings growth | 16.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.3% |
| Future return on equity | 17.63% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 11 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
New Narrative • May 09
Siemens Integration And AI Pricing Reliance Will Constrain Margins And Long Term Earnings
Catalysts About Xometry Xometry operates an AI-focused online marketplace that connects buyers with a global network of custom manufacturing suppliers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • May 01
XMTR: AI Disintermediation Fears And Leadership Shift Will Create Opportunity
Analysts have trimmed the average Xometry price target by a few dollars into the mid $50s, even as they highlight strong recent execution, adjusted EBITDA break even, and what they see as resilient marketplace positioning in light of evolving AI and leadership headlines. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on two themes for Xometry: valuation reset and confidence in execution.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
XMTR: AI Execution And Lead Time Advances Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Xometry price targets by around $10 on average, to a range of about $55 to $65. This reflects strong recent execution and EBITDA progress, tempered by leadership transition questions and evolving views on AI related competitive risk and opportunity.Narrative Update • Apr 02
XMTR: AI Marketplace Resilience And Execution Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update on Xometry The average analyst price target for Xometry has been reset toward the mid $50s to low $60s range, with cuts such as $70 to $60 and $75 to $65, offset by a smaller increase from $54 to $55, as analysts factor in strong recent execution, leadership changes, and updated views on AI related risks and opportunities for the business. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture of Xometry, with analysts updating targets and views in response to earnings, guidance, leadership changes, and evolving AI related risks.Narrative Update • Mar 19
XMTR: AI Resilience And Execution Will Support Durable Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed Street price targets for Xometry into a roughly $55 to $65 range, but recent views still lean on strong Q4 execution, higher 2026 growth guidance, and a belief that the business model is relatively well positioned against AI disintermediation, even as leadership transition and AI related worries weigh on sentiment. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are still leaning constructive on Xometry, even as price targets reset into a tighter range.Narrative Update • Mar 04
XMTR: AI Pricing Advances And Execution Strength Will Drive Future Upside
The updated analyst price target for Xometry has been reduced by about $3 to reflect a more moderate fair value estimate. Analysts highlight strong recent execution, adjusted EBITDA break even, and positive revenue guidance, while balancing these factors against uncertainty around the CEO transition and evolving expectations for future P/E and profit margins.Narrative Update • Feb 18
XMTR: Expanded Manufacturing Capabilities And Compliance Credentials Will Support Future Upside
Analysts are maintaining Xometry's fair value target at $65.44, with only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations supporting the unchanged headline figure. What's in the News Xometry expanded its additive manufacturing capabilities in December 2025 with eight new materials across FDM and SLA processes, targeting advanced use cases in aerospace, defense, medical devices, and automotive sectors.Narrative Update • Feb 04
XMTR: Supply Chain Tools And Manufacturing Updates Will Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their price target for Xometry broadly unchanged at about US$65.44, with only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and expected future P/E. These changes reflect fine tuning rather than a major shift in their view.Seeking Alpha • Jan 20
Xometry: Scaling The AI Operating System For Manufacturing
Summary Xometry reported record Q3 revenue of $181 million, representing a 28% YoY increase driven by its AI-powered marketplace. XMTR delivered an adjusted EBITDA of $6.1 million, reflecting strong operational efficiencies and increasing marketplace gross margins. XMTR's AI-driven platform may continue to drive success in 2026, unlocking a surge in enterprise adoption and eventually a rating upgrade. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jan 20
XMTR: Marketplace Execution And New Tools Will Support Measured Upside Potential
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Xometry has moved higher into a US$60 to US$75 range, as analysts point to stronger than expected Q3 results, record marketplace metrics, and ongoing product improvements such as broader instant-quote coverage and the new Workcenter mobile app as key supports for the revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a generally constructive tone on Xometry, with higher price targets tied to Q3 execution and product improvements.Narrative Update • Jan 06
XMTR: Expanding Network And Tools Will Support Gains Despite Softer Guidance
Narrative Update on Xometry Analysts have lifted their price targets on Xometry to a range of about US$60 to US$75, citing stronger than expected Q3 revenue and profitability metrics, ongoing market share gains, and product improvements such as broader instant-quote coverage and the new Workcenter mobile app as key supports for the higher valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Xometry highlights both growing confidence in the business model and some unease about its longer term outlook, especially around the company’s own 2026 revenue guidance.Narrative Update • Dec 18
XMTR: Marketplace Scale And Digital Tools Will Drive Durable Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Xometry to $75 from $55, citing better than expected Q3 results, accelerating marketplace and total revenue growth, and continued market share gains as the platform scales its buyer and supplier network and enhances its digital tools. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting Xometry's stronger than expected Q3 performance as a key driver behind recent upward revisions to price targets, pointing to improved visibility into the company’s growth trajectory and operational leverage.Narrative Update • Dec 04
XMTR: Expanding Marketplace Network Will Drive Future Share Gains
Analysts modestly raised their price targets on Xometry into a roughly $60 to $75 range, citing stronger than expected Q3 results, accelerating marketplace revenue growth, and growing evidence that the platform is capturing share as it scales its buyer and supplier network. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlighted that Xometry's record Q3 performance across revenue, gross profit, Marketplace gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA supports a higher fundamental valuation framework.Narrative Update • Nov 20
XMTR: Expanding Marketplace Capabilities Will Drive Balanced Performance Amid Ongoing Risks
Xometry's analyst price target has increased from approximately $51.67 to $65.44. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected quarterly results, accelerating revenue growth, and expanding marketplace capabilities as key factors.Narrative Update • Nov 05
XMTR: Elevated Multiples And Falling Profit Margins Will Pressure Shares Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for Xometry from $50.11 to $51.67 per share, citing updated assessments of the company’s growth trajectory and financial metrics. What's in the News Xometry has launched auto-quotes for injection molding services in the U.S., expanding a feature first introduced in European markets (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Xometry Price Target on Strong Results and Growth Outlook Amid Mixed Commentary
Xometry's analyst price target has increased by $0.78 to $50.11 per share. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected quarterly results, raised guidance, and growing enterprise adoption as key drivers of the upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Digital Manufacturing Platforms And AI Will Expand Global Reach
Xometry's fair value estimate has been raised from $47.67 to $49.33 per share. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected Q2 results, improved profitability, and sustained growth momentum as key drivers of the upward revision.Analysis Article • Sep 09
Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Xometry, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XMTR) Shares
Xometry, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:XMTR ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x may look like a poor investment opportunity...Narrative Update • Aug 06
Digital Manufacturing Platforms And AI Will Expand Global Reach
Xometry’s Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen notably as both its Future P/E ratio and discount rate have increased, suggesting analysts expect stronger future growth but at greater risk, resulting in a revised fair value estimate of $40.44. What's in the News Xometry raised full-year 2025 marketplace growth outlook to 23-24% from previous guidance of at least 22%; expects Q3 revenue of $167–169 million (18–19% YoY growth), but supplier services revenue to decline ~5% YoY.Analysis Article • Jul 28
Xometry (NASDAQ:XMTR) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jun 29
Why Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) Could Be Worth Watching
Xometry, Inc. ( NASDAQ:XMTR ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Analysis Article • May 04
Xometry, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XMTR) 39% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Those holding Xometry, Inc. ( NASDAQ:XMTR ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 39% in the last...Analysis Article • Apr 10
Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) Shares Could Be 43% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Xometry's estimated fair value is US$38.42 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Xometry's US$22.07...
New Narrative • Mar 23
Advanced AI Integration Will Streamline Operations And Boost Efficiency
Expansion in buyer-supplier networks and international markets is set to drive revenue growth and broaden the customer base.Analysis Article • Mar 06
Xometry, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XMTR) 27% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues
Xometry, Inc. ( NASDAQ:XMTR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand...Seeking Alpha • Feb 27
Xometry: Positive Fundamentals Despite Volatile Sentiment
Summary Xometry's marketplace growth remained solid in the fourth quarter, and its margins continue to improve. While the business is performing well in a challenging macro environment, the stock has struggled due to elevated investor expectations. Reshoring could create tailwinds, although I tend to think that this will be fairly modest and will take time to play out. While Xometry's growth should create strong returns in time, further profitability improvements will likely be needed first. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 30
Xometry (NASDAQ:XMTR) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jan 02
A Look At The Fair Value Of Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR)
Key Insights Xometry's estimated fair value is US$37.77 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$42.66 share...Analysis Article • Dec 12
Investors Appear Satisfied With Xometry, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XMTR) Prospects
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Trade Distributors industry in the United States have...Seeking Alpha • Nov 20
Xometry: Investor Pessimism Fading
Summary Xometry's Q3 results demonstrated a continuation of solid growth and profitability trends despite the soft demand environment. Market conditions are stabilizing and there could be a tailwind from the reshoring of manufacturing in coming years. Despite the recent share price increase, Xometry remains reasonably priced given its growth prospects. Volatility is likely to remain elevated until Xometry achieves cash flow breakeven, though, which is probably still around a year away. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 04
Xometry: Marketplace Sales More Than Doubled While Peers' Organic Revenue Declined
Summary Xometry's digital platform connects 60,000 buyers with 3,500 suppliers, streamlining custom part sourcing with AI-powered quoting and supplier matching. The company has improved gross margins by 10% since its IPO and continues to enhance its pricing for complex parts. Xometry's market potential is significant, with a $200 billion custom-manufactured parts market and growing large-account customer base, including NASA and SpaceX. Despite a significant stock drop, Xometry meets growth targets and is expected to generate profits soon, with substantial upside potential in share price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 02
Would Xometry (NASDAQ:XMTR) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Aug 18
Revenues Tell The Story For Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) As Its Stock Soars 29%
Xometry, Inc. ( NASDAQ:XMTR ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,201 | 67 | 60 | 121 | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,037 | 25 | 37 | 77 | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 876 | -12 | 17 | 58 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 741 | -52 | -11 | 24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 687 | -62 | -24 | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 643 | -63 | -14 | 11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 604 | -62 | -20 | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 574 | -49 | -27 | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 546 | -50 | -33 | -15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 525 | -51 | -46 | -26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 502 | -53 | -47 | -28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 481 | -66 | -44 | -25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 463 | -67 | -48 | -30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 433 | -84 | -62 | -46 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 418 | -87 | -68 | -51 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 403 | -77 | -70 | -55 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 381 | -79 | -76 | -63 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 350 | -76 | -88 | -77 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 303 | -75 | -91 | -82 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 258 | -71 | -90 | -83 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 218 | -61 | -75 | -69 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 189 | -48 | -48 | -42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 174 | -48 | -36 | -31 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 159 | -42 | -30 | -26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 141 | -40 | -26 | -22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 80 | -31 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: XMTR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: XMTR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: XMTR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: XMTR's revenue (17.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: XMTR's revenue (17.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: XMTR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.6%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 15:41 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Xometry, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nathaniel Schindler | BofA Global Research |
| Troy Jensen | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |
| Ronald Josey | Citigroup Inc |