Stock Analysis

Woodward, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

NasdaqGS:WWD
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Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of US$787m, some 4.2% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at US$1.46, 27% ahead of expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Woodward

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NasdaqGS:WWD Earnings and Revenue Growth February 1st 2024

Following the latest results, Woodward's nine analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$3.25b in 2024. This would be a modest 5.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 9.2% to US$5.32. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.21b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.06 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target was unchanged at US$157, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Woodward at US$177 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$134. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Woodward is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 7.2% annualised growth until the end of 2024. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 0.7% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.5% per year. So while Woodward's revenues are expected to improve, it seems that it is expected to grow at about the same rate as the overall industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Woodward following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Woodward going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also see whether Woodward is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.