Woodward Valuation

Is WWD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WWD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WWD ($172.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($355.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WWD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WWD?

Key metric: As WWD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WWD. This is calculated by dividing WWD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WWD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.6x
EarningsUS$372.33m
Market CapUS$10.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WWD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WWD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.5x
BWXT BWX Technologies
42.9x10.2%US$11.9b
DRS Leonardo DRS
46.7x20.9%US$9.3b
CW Curtiss-Wright
33.7x5.6%US$13.7b
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries
10.6x6.9%US$7.5b
WWD Woodward
27.6x6.4%US$10.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WWD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the peer average (33.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WWD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CVU CPI Aerostructures
2.8xn/aUS$47.45m
ETCC Environmental Tectonics
4.8xn/aUS$30.36m
AWIN AERWINS Technologies
0.002xn/aUS$6.93k
GIGA.Q Gresham Worldwide
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
WWD 27.6xIndustry Avg. 34.4xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WWD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (34.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WWD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WWD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WWD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WWD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$172.17
US$180.31
+4.7%
10.1%US$209.00US$151.14n/a10
Nov ’25US$161.32
US$180.31
+11.8%
10.1%US$209.00US$151.14n/a10
Oct ’25US$169.34
US$186.70
+10.3%
7.6%US$209.00US$158.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$166.65
US$186.60
+12.0%
7.5%US$208.00US$158.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$154.91
US$183.80
+18.7%
9.6%US$208.00US$152.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$171.41
US$186.20
+8.6%
10.9%US$214.00US$152.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$186.50
US$183.56
-1.6%
10.7%US$214.00US$152.00n/a9
May ’25US$165.86
US$175.38
+5.7%
14.2%US$214.00US$140.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$153.03
US$158.38
+3.5%
8.8%US$182.00US$140.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$142.15
US$157.38
+10.7%
7.9%US$177.00US$140.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$138.39
US$156.63
+13.2%
8.6%US$177.00US$134.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$136.13
US$140.33
+3.1%
13.0%US$164.00US$105.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$135.49
US$139.00
+2.6%
12.1%US$160.00US$105.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$126.53
US$130.55
+3.2%
13.5%US$160.00US$103.00US$161.3211
Oct ’24US$124.26
US$128.40
+3.3%
13.3%US$160.00US$103.00US$169.3410
Sep ’24US$129.85
US$123.00
-5.3%
9.1%US$137.00US$103.00US$166.659
Aug ’24US$131.87
US$118.33
-10.3%
11.3%US$137.00US$92.00US$154.919
Jul ’24US$118.91
US$109.44
-8.0%
12.4%US$137.00US$83.00US$171.419
Jun ’24US$107.57
US$109.44
+1.7%
12.4%US$137.00US$83.00US$186.509
May ’24US$98.64
US$102.13
+3.5%
12.7%US$120.00US$74.00US$165.868
Apr ’24US$97.37
US$101.50
+4.2%
12.9%US$120.00US$74.00US$153.038
Mar ’24US$100.06
US$101.50
+1.4%
12.9%US$120.00US$74.00US$142.158
Feb ’24US$105.04
US$98.29
-6.4%
12.5%US$110.00US$74.00US$138.397
Jan ’24US$96.61
US$95.43
-1.2%
12.8%US$110.00US$73.00US$136.137
Dec ’23US$96.21
US$95.29
-1.0%
12.9%US$110.00US$73.00US$135.497
Nov ’23US$92.35
US$94.75
+2.6%
12.7%US$110.00US$75.00US$126.538

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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