BWX Technologies Valuation

Is BWXT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BWXT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BWXT ($132.89) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($129.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BWXT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BWXT?

Key metric: As BWXT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BWXT. This is calculated by dividing BWXT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BWXT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.9x
EarningsUS$276.81m
Market CapUS$12.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BWXT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BWXT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.3x
CW Curtiss-Wright
34.6x5.6%US$14.1b
WWD Woodward
28.2x6.2%US$10.5b
TXT Textron
17.9x9.2%US$15.8b
DRS Leonardo DRS
48.4x20.9%US$9.6b
BWXT BWX Technologies
43.9x10.2%US$12.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BWXT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.9x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BWXT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CVU CPI Aerostructures
2.8xn/aUS$48.62m
ETCC Environmental Tectonics
4.9xn/aUS$31.14m
AWIN AERWINS Technologies
0.002xn/aUS$6.93k
GIGA.Q Gresham Worldwide
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
BWXT 43.9xIndustry Avg. 35.1xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BWXT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.9x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (35.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BWXT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BWXT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.9x
Fair PE Ratio22.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BWXT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BWXT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$132.89
US$135.10
+1.7%
16.1%US$166.00US$90.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$122.58
US$116.10
-5.3%
16.9%US$166.00US$90.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$111.65
US$110.20
-1.3%
8.7%US$123.00US$90.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$103.00
US$110.20
+7.0%
8.7%US$123.00US$90.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$98.58
US$109.60
+11.2%
8.6%US$123.00US$90.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$94.03
US$107.90
+14.7%
12.1%US$123.00US$75.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$92.13
US$106.00
+15.1%
14.1%US$123.00US$75.00n/a7
May ’25US$95.73
US$106.14
+10.9%
14.2%US$123.00US$75.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$101.90
US$106.14
+4.2%
14.2%US$123.00US$75.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$102.38
US$99.86
-2.5%
18.1%US$123.00US$75.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$83.51
US$84.29
+0.9%
5.8%US$90.00US$75.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$76.73
US$83.29
+8.5%
5.1%US$90.00US$75.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$78.83
US$82.25
+4.3%
5.9%US$90.00US$75.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$74.58
US$81.13
+8.8%
5.9%US$86.00US$75.00US$122.588
Oct ’24US$74.98
US$81.13
+8.2%
5.9%US$86.00US$75.00US$111.658
Sep ’24US$73.97
US$80.43
+8.7%
5.9%US$85.00US$75.00US$103.007
Aug ’24US$69.36
US$73.00
+5.2%
7.6%US$80.00US$61.00US$98.587
Jul ’24US$71.57
US$73.00
+2.0%
7.6%US$80.00US$61.00US$94.037
Jun ’24US$61.46
US$71.86
+16.9%
8.2%US$80.00US$61.00US$92.137
May ’24US$64.68
US$69.13
+6.9%
6.7%US$75.00US$61.00US$95.738
Apr ’24US$63.04
US$68.86
+9.2%
7.1%US$75.00US$61.00US$101.907
Mar ’24US$62.33
US$67.86
+8.9%
6.2%US$75.00US$61.00US$102.387
Feb ’24US$60.55
US$67.57
+11.6%
6.4%US$75.00US$61.00US$83.517
Jan ’24US$58.08
US$67.57
+16.3%
6.4%US$75.00US$61.00US$76.737
Dec ’23US$61.25
US$66.71
+8.9%
8.1%US$75.00US$58.00US$78.837
Nov ’23US$57.63
US$65.71
+14.0%
7.9%US$75.00US$58.00US$74.587

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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