Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Updating Their Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) Estimates After Its Yearly Results

NasdaqGS:WWD
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Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) last week reported its latest yearly results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of US$3.3b and statutory earnings per share of US$6.01 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Woodward is executing in line with expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Woodward after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for Woodward

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NasdaqGS:WWD Earnings and Revenue Growth November 29th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Woodward from eleven analysts is for revenues of US$3.40b in 2025. If met, it would imply a credible 2.2% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to shrink 4.9% to US$6.00 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$3.39b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.83 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$189, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Woodward, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$228 and the most bearish at US$151 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Woodward's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 2.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 3.8% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Woodward is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Woodward following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Woodward's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$189, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Woodward going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

It might also be worth considering whether Woodward's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.