Earnings Not Telling The Story For Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) After Shares Rise 28%

Explore Sterling Infrastructure's Fair Values from the Community and select yours

Despite an already strong run, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 184% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Following the firm bounce in price, Sterling Infrastructure may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.9x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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Recent times have been advantageous for Sterling Infrastructure as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Sterling Infrastructure

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Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sterling Infrastructure would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 77% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 260% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.3% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sterling Infrastructure is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Sterling Infrastructure's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Sterling Infrastructure currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Sterling Infrastructure that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.