Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

NasdaqGS:STRL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.9b

Sterling Infrastructure Valuation

Is STRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$203.72
Fair Value
14.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: STRL ($233.39) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($203.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STRL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STRL?

Key metric: As STRL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STRL. This is calculated by dividing STRL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STRL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.7x
EarningsUS$265.89m
Market CapUS$6.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STRL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
DY Dycom Industries
31.5x17.09%US$7.2b
IESC IES Holdings
24.9xn/aUS$5.8b
FLR Fluor
4.6x-32.54%US$8.4b
VMI Valmont Industries
19.6x7.31%US$6.9b
STRL Sterling Infrastructure
26.7x0.90%US$6.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STRL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Construction Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FLR Fluor
4.6x-32.54%US$8.44b
No more companies available in this PE range
STRL 26.7xIndustry Avg. 33.2xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the US Construction industry average (33.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STRL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STRL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.7x
Fair PE Ratio22.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$233.39
US$256.33
+9.83%
2.47%US$265.00US$250.00n/a3
Jul ’26US$222.54
US$256.33
+15.19%
2.47%US$265.00US$250.00n/a3
Jun ’26US$188.01
US$216.00
+14.89%
3.84%US$225.00US$205.00n/a3
May ’26US$159.96
US$198.33
+23.99%
5.18%US$210.00US$185.00n/a3
Apr ’26US$115.64
US$198.33
+71.51%
5.18%US$210.00US$185.00n/a3
Mar ’26US$127.21
US$198.33
+55.91%
5.18%US$210.00US$185.00n/a3
Feb ’26US$142.42
US$194.33
+36.45%
3.42%US$200.00US$185.00n/a3
Jan ’26US$168.45
US$191.50
+13.68%
3.39%US$198.00US$185.00n/a2
Dec ’25US$194.45
US$191.50
-1.52%
3.39%US$198.00US$185.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$153.66
US$139.50
-9.22%
10.39%US$154.00US$125.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$142.94
US$139.50
-2.41%
10.39%US$154.00US$125.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$119.53
US$139.50
+16.71%
10.39%US$154.00US$125.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$109.98
US$140.00
+27.30%
7.14%US$150.00US$130.00n/a2
May ’25US$99.16
US$113.50
+14.46%
1.32%US$115.00US$112.00US$159.962
Apr ’25US$109.81
US$113.50
+3.36%
1.32%US$115.00US$112.00US$115.642
Mar ’25US$110.98
US$113.50
+2.27%
1.32%US$115.00US$112.00US$127.212
Feb ’25US$78.36
US$86.50
+10.39%
0.58%US$87.00US$86.00US$142.422
Jan ’25US$87.93
US$86.50
-1.63%
0.58%US$87.00US$86.00US$168.452
Dec ’24US$64.86
US$92.50
+42.61%
5.95%US$98.00US$87.00US$194.452
Nov ’24US$75.16
US$86.50
+15.09%
0.58%US$87.00US$86.00US$153.662
Oct ’24US$73.48
US$86.50
+17.72%
0.58%US$87.00US$86.00US$142.942
Sep ’24US$83.13
US$83.00
-0.16%
3.61%US$86.00US$80.00US$119.532
Aug ’24US$62.98
US$64.00
+1.62%
1.56%US$65.00US$63.00US$109.982
Jul ’24US$55.80
US$50.00
-10.39%
4.00%US$52.00US$48.00US$114.762
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
US$256.33
Fair Value
9.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/07/09 11:32
End of Day Share Price 2025/07/09 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John KasprzakBB&T Capital Markets
Avram FisherBMO Capital Markets U.S. (Historical)
Brent ThielmanD.A. Davidson & Co.