Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

NasdaqGS:STRL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$26.0b

Sterling Infrastructure Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 0/6

Sterling Infrastructure does not have a record of paying a dividend.

Key information

n/a

Dividend yield

0.3%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield0.3%
Future Dividend Yieldn/a
Dividend Growthn/a
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ration/a

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 14

STRL: Data Center Backlog Versus Short Seller Claims Will Shape 2026 Outlook

Narrative Update on Sterling Infrastructure The updated analyst fair value estimate for Sterling Infrastructure has moved from about $510 to about $841. Analysts attribute this change to research indicating stronger profitability and a lower future P/E assumption, even though they are using slightly more conservative revenue growth estimates and a modestly higher discount rate.
Analysis Article May 06

Growth Investors: Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) Revenue Forecasts By 22%

Celebrations may be in order for Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. ( NASDAQ:STRL ) shareholders, with the analysts...
New Narrative May 06

Mega Data Center And Semiconductor Projects Will Drive Major Long Term Upside

Catalysts About Sterling Infrastructure Sterling Infrastructure provides infrastructure solutions across E-Infrastructure, Transportation Solutions and Building Solutions with a focus on large, mission critical projects in the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Seeking Alpha May 01

Sterling Infrastructure: Why The Growth Story Isn't Over (Earnings Preview)

Summary Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. remains a Buy with strong medium-term growth prospects, driven by data center and semiconductor construction demand. STRL's Q4 2025 saw sales up 51.5% YoY and EBITDA up 70%, with a robust $3.01 billion backlog and $100 million net cash position. Management guides for FY2026 revenue of $3.05–3.20B and non-GAAP EPS of $13.45–14.05, with consensus estimates viewed as too conservative. Upcoming earnings will likely focus on backlog conversion, pipeline expansion, and management commentary, with potential for another earnings beat given conservative consensus expectations. I see 21.5% medium-term upside for STRL to $628/share, supported by margin expansion, cross-selling synergies, and a multi-year infrastructure supercycle. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 28

STRL: Data Center Backlog And Short Seller Clash Will Shape 2026 Path

Analysts have lifted the consolidated price target for Sterling Infrastructure to about $510, citing higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly richer future P/E near 39x, and continued confidence in long term demand visibility and mission critical project backlogs highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are emphasizing CEO and CFO commentary that quarterly book-to-bill ratios and short-term margin swings can understate what they see as durable mission-critical demand, which they argue supports the use of a richer forward P/E.
Narrative Update Apr 11

STRL: Data Center Backlog And Short Seller Challenge Will Shape 2026 Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their blended price target for Sterling Infrastructure slightly lower to about $494 from $495, supported by recent research that points to solid Q4 execution, steady backlog visibility into 2026, and ongoing demand for mission critical data center and complex infrastructure projects. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sterling Infrastructure centers on how effectively the company is executing on mission critical data center and complex infrastructure work, and how that ties into backlog visibility through 2026 and current valuation targets around $494.
Narrative Update Mar 26

STRL: Data Center Backlog And Short Seller Scrutiny Will Shape Future Outcomes

Sterling Infrastructure's fair value estimate has shifted from $481.60 to $495.40 as analysts factor in higher price targets around $482 and $500, citing solid recent results, mission critical data center demand, and visibility supported by backlog and high probability future phases. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets into the $482 to $500 range, signaling that recent information is being incorporated into higher fair value assumptions.
Narrative Update Mar 11

STRL: Mission Critical Data Center Backlog Will Drive Future Upside

Sterling Infrastructure's fair value estimate has moved from $451.80 to $481.60 as analysts raise price targets into the $482 to $500 range, citing solid recent results, mission critical data center exposure, and what they view as improving revenue visibility backed by backlog and high probability future phases. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a generally constructive stance on Sterling Infrastructure, with higher fair value estimates and price targets supported by company specific growth drivers and management commentary on revenue visibility.
Narrative Update Feb 24

STRL: Bullish Initiations And Short Seller Scrutiny Will Shape Balanced Return Outlook

The analyst price target on Sterling Infrastructure has been revised from about $443 to roughly $452, as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, slightly adjusted growth and margin expectations, and a P/E framework supported by recent bullish initiations from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has framed Sterling Infrastructure as a name where updated price targets and fresh initiations are grounded in a reassessment of fair value, growth potential, and execution risk, all within a P/E framework that analysts see as supported by recent coverage.
New Narrative Feb 21

From Highways to Hyperscalers: The E-Infrastructure Evolution

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) has undergone a dramatic transformation, evolving from a traditional civil construction firm into a mission-critical partner for the AI revolution. As of February 2026, the stock is trading near $435, fueled by an explosive 125% year-over-year revenue increase in its E-Infrastructure Solutions segment.
Analysis Article Feb 13

There's Reason For Concern Over Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:STRL) Massive 34% Price Jump

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. ( NASDAQ:STRL ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump...
Narrative Update Feb 08

STRL: Buyback Plan And Bullish Initiation Will Shape Balanced Return Profile

Analysts have nudged their price target on Sterling Infrastructure higher to $443.25, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions following recent bullish Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher price target as a sign that updated discount rate and P/E assumptions still leave room for upside if Sterling Infrastructure executes on its current project pipeline and maintains its profitability profile.
Narrative Update Jan 24

STRL: New Buyback Authorization Will Support Mission-Critical Project Execution Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sterling Infrastructure from about US$453.33 to roughly US$443.25, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while maintaining a generally constructive view reflected in recent bullish Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sterling Infrastructure has generally framed the trimmed fair value estimate as a tuning of assumptions rather than a shift in overall stance.
Narrative Update Jan 08

STRL: Share Repurchases And Index Inclusion Will Support Mission-Critical Project Upside

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target on Sterling Infrastructure to US$453.33, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. These updates keep their overall valuation view broadly intact.
Narrative Update Dec 19

STRL: Expanding E-Infrastructure Backlog Will Drive Mission-Critical Project Upside

Analysts trimmed their 12 month price target for Sterling Infrastructure by $105 to $348, citing the companys impressive multi year revenue and EPS growth, expanding e infrastructure backlog, and evolving role as a diversified infrastructure provider that together support a more balanced risk reward profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts note that Sterling has transitioned from a low margin heavy civil contractor into a diversified infrastructure platform, supporting a structurally higher earnings base and justifying a premium to historical valuation multiples.
Narrative Update Dec 05

STRL: Expanding E-Infrastructure Backlog Will Drive Future Earnings Momentum

Analysts modestly raised their price target on Sterling Infrastructure to $453.33 from $348.00, citing the company’s successful evolution into a higher growth, diversified infrastructure provider with a strong backlog in mission critical e-infrastructure projects. Analyst Commentary Analyst commentary on Sterling Infrastructure highlights a company that has materially upgraded its business profile, but where much of the near term upside may already be reflected in shares.
Narrative Update Nov 21

STRL: Expanding E-Infrastructure Backlog Will Drive Earnings Momentum Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target for Sterling Infrastructure from $390 to approximately $453, citing stronger revenue growth and improving profit margins. This increased confidence is attributed to the company’s strategic evolution and expanding project backlog.
Analysis Article Nov 12

Additional Considerations Required While Assessing Sterling Infrastructure's (NASDAQ:STRL) Strong Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:STRL ) stock hasn't moved...
Narrative Update Nov 06

STRL: E-Infrastructure Backlog Expansion Will Face Execution Risks Ahead

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Sterling Infrastructure from $355 to $390 per share. They cite a stronger outlook for revenue growth and profit margins as the company capitalizes on its expanding backlog and diversified infrastructure services.
Analysis Article Oct 09

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) Stock Rockets 28% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. ( NASDAQ:STRL ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last...
Analysis Article Sep 09

Investors Shouldn't Overlook Sterling Infrastructure's (NASDAQ:STRL) Impressive Returns On Capital

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Narrative Update Aug 22

E-Infrastructure Reliance Will Erode Future Margins

Sterling Infrastructure's consensus price target has increased from $313 to $355, reflecting raised earnings estimates and forward guidance, as well as anticipated growth and strategic value from the CEC Facilities Group acquisition. Analyst Commentary Q2 earnings beat and raised forward guidance prompted upward revisions to valuation assumptions.
Analysis Article Aug 13

Earnings Not Telling The Story For Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) After Shares Rise 28%

NasdaqGS:STRL 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Sterling Infrastructure's Fair Values from the Community and...
Narrative Update Aug 07

E-Infrastructure Reliance Will Erode Future Margins

With no changes observed in either the discount rate or net profit margin, Sterling Infrastructure’s consensus analyst price target remains steady at $313.00. What's in the News Raised full-year guidance, expecting revenue of $2.10–$2.15 billion, net income of $243–$252 million, and diluted EPS of $7.87–$8.13.
Analysis Article Jul 28

Does Sterling Infrastructure (NASDAQ:STRL) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Jul 14

Why Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) Could Be Worth Watching

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. ( NASDAQ:STRL ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a...
Analysis Article Jun 30

Calculating The Fair Value Of Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Sterling Infrastructure fair value estimate is US$200 Current...
Analysis Article May 20

Is Sterling Infrastructure (NASDAQ:STRL) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Seeking Alpha Apr 17

Sterling Infrastructure: Still A Decent Bet At The Current Multiple

Summary The E-Infrastructure segment remains resilient, and is expected to drive top line growth further with strong data center and with a $1.7 billion backlog. The company's margins are expected to improve due to a shift towards high-margin projects and a focus on operational efficiency. STRL stock remains a BUY as valuations remain attractive, and growth prospects are still favorable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 12

Sterling Infrastructure: Declining Backlog, Uncertain Outlook

Summary Sterling Infrastructure's mixed quarterly results and shrinking E-Infrastructure backlog raise concerns about the cooling data center market and future growth prospects. Despite a solid FY'24 performance, the company's reliance on data centers and potential slowdown in demand pose risks to hitting FY'25 targets. The company's valuation is attractive after a 34% YTD decline, but I recommend waiting for further clarity on backlog and data center demand. Maintaining a 'hold' rating on STRL stock, I may consider adding to my position if the stock drops 20% lower, reflecting a more conservative valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 18

Sterling Infrastructure's Fall From Grace Is Warranted - Still No Margin Of Safety

Summary STRL has lost over -30% of its value since the DeepSeek revelation, with more pain likely than not, given the massive pulled forward upside potential. With the stock now trading beyond historical valuations, we believe that there remains a minimal margin of safety here, worsened by the higher short interest volume. This is despite STRL's robust data center related backlog at higher profit margins and the promising AI related capex trends as reiterated by numerous market leaders. While the construction company may report a bottom-line beat in the upcoming FQ4'24 earnings call on February 25, 2025, there is still no floor in sight. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 03

Sterling Infrastructure: A Compelling Buy Opportunity

Summary Sterling Infrastructure's topline growth moderated due to a decline in the building solution segment, but strong demand in other areas and a robust backlog support revenue. The company's focus on high-margin projects and a favorable backlog are expected to drive margin expansion in FY24 and beyond. Despite the stock trading above its historical average, its strong long-term prospects and diversified market position make it a compelling buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 17

Sterling Infrastructure: Worth Trimming This AI Beneficiary After A Significant Run (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Sterling Infrastructure delivered a record-breaking Q3 with strong revenue growth, significant margin expansion, and impressive EPS growth, driven by the E-Infrastructure and Transportation segments. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the AI and data center boom, with a robust $2.1 billion backlog and strong cash generation. Given the recent multiple expansion and current valuation, I recommend taking profits or waiting for a pullback for a more attractive entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 31

Sterling Infrastructure: Expensive In A Competitive Market

Summary Sterling Infrastructure's valuation has surged from under 10x PE to 27x PE due to growth in its e-commerce infrastructure division, making it potentially overvalued. The construction business is asset-light with high returns but faces challenges like non-recurring revenue, macroeconomic susceptibility, and low barriers to entry. Sterling's backlog is over $2bn, but future revenue growth and margins are expected to plateau, making further valuation expansion unlikely. I rate Sterling a Sell due to its high valuation, competitive sector risks, and better alternatives in the data center supply chain. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 13

Why I'm Downgrading Sterling Infrastructure Stock

Summary Sterling Infrastructure's stock has surged from $59.11 to over $188, driven by strong business growth and margin expansion, but now appears overvalued. Despite a robust backlog and impressive margin gains, the stock's recent price increase is mainly due to multiple expansions rather than business growth. Management's optimistic outlook and healthy balance sheet support future growth, especially in e-infrastructure, but EPS growth is expected to slow significantly. I'm downgrading STRL to 'Hold' as it seems already overvalued by ~6% in my base case scenario. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if STRL's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if STRL's dividend payments have been increasing.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Sterling Infrastructure Dividend Yield vs Market
How does STRL dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (STRL)n/a
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.3%
Industry Average (Construction)0.2%
Analyst forecast (STRL) (up to 3 years)n/a

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate STRL's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate STRL's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate STRL's payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as STRL has not reported any payouts.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 11:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Manish SomaiyaCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Brent ThielmanD.A. Davidson & Co.
Sangita JainKeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.