Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About NeoVolta's (NASDAQ:NEOV) Cash Burn Situation

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So should NeoVolta (NASDAQ:NEOV) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for NeoVolta

SWOT Analysis for NeoVolta

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Forecast to reduce losses next year.
Threat
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.

Does NeoVolta Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In December 2022, NeoVolta had US$3.4m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was US$1.4m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of about 2.5 years from December 2022. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:NEOV Debt to Equity History April 27th 2023

How Well Is NeoVolta Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that NeoVolta is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 47% in the last year. And we must say we find it concerning that operating revenue dropped 20% over the same period. Taken together, we think these growth metrics are a little worrying. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can NeoVolta Raise More Cash Easily?

Even though it seems like NeoVolta is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

NeoVolta's cash burn of US$1.4m is about 2.4% of its US$58m market capitalisation. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

Is NeoVolta's Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of NeoVolta's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 5 warning signs for NeoVolta (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:NEOV

NeoVolta

Designs, manufactures, and sells energy storage systems in the United States.

Adequate balance sheet with limited growth.

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