Intuitive Machines Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Intuitive Machines's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -45.4%, while the Aerospace & Defense industry saw earnings growing at 18.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 33.1% per year.
Key information
-45.40%
Earnings growth rate
-29.17%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Growth | 5.38% |
| Revenue growth rate | 33.09% |
| Return on equity | -52.45% |
| Net Margin | -39.95% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Dec 2025 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Strategic Expansion Meets Valuation Reality at $23
Balancing High-Growth Potential with Capital Dilution Intuitive Machines (LUNR) has successfully shifted from a high-risk startup to a Lunar Infrastructure Prime, backed by a $943M backlog and a strategic pivot toward high-margin data services via the Lanteris acquisition. While the trajectory toward positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2026 is clear, the current stock price reflects a "perfection premium" that overlooks recent share dilution.Intuitive Machines: Liftoff Has Just Started (Rating Upgrade)
Apr 20
LUNR: Future Lunar Contracts And Ongoing Equity Dilution Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Intuitive Machines by roughly $10 to align with a fair value estimate of about $12.09 per share, citing higher revenue and margin assumptions supported by a wave of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research around Intuitive Machines has centered on how its lunar infrastructure plans and related services could support future revenue and earnings, with several firms updating price targets and estimates in recent months.LUNR: Lunar Contract Uncertainty And Equity Dilution Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Intuitive Machines by about $2.27 per share to $12.86, reflecting a series of recent target price increases and higher estimates that lean on stronger revenue expectations, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated long term P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intuitive Machines centers on updated price targets, revised estimates, and views on the company’s shifting business mix toward recurring revenue opportunities tied to lunar infrastructure, communications, and mobility services.
LUNR: Lunar Commercialization And New Capital Raise Will Drive Future Contracts
Analysts have raised the base price target for Intuitive Machines from $15.50 to about $22.28, citing higher revenue and margin assumptions, reduced risk estimates, and an increased future P/E multiple influenced by recent upward price target revisions and estimate updates across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Intuitive Machines has become more active, with several firms updating price targets and estimates and revisiting their views on the company’s growth path and risk profile.
LUNR: Lunar Commercialization Funding Will Support Shift To Recurring Revenue
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Intuitive Machines at $26.00 while making slight adjustments to underlying assumptions. They point to recent price target changes in the $16.00 to $25.00 range and cite confidence in lunar commercialization, new funding flexibility, and the potential for upcoming NASA contract decisions.LUNR: Lunar Services And Recurring Revenue Shift Will Support Next Space Prime
The Street’s average price target for Intuitive Machines has moved higher by several dollars into the low to mid $20s, as analysts point to a larger addressable lunar services market, the company’s Near Space Network and Moon RACER offerings, and a gradual shift toward more recurring revenue as key supports for the new targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing Intuitive Machines as a key beneficiary of growing interest in commercial and government lunar activity, and recent research updates cluster around price targets in the low to mid US$20s.LUNR: Recurring Revenue Shift Will Drive Next Generation Space Prime Positioning
Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Intuitive Machines from $20.00 to $26.00, as recent price target increases and commentary highlight both growing interest in its shift toward more recurring revenue and a mixed but engaged view of contract-related risks around upcoming NASA awards. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intuitive Machines reflects a mix of enthusiasm for the business model pivot and caution around contract outcomes, especially NASA programs.LUNR: Political Uncertainty Around Lunar Contract Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Intuitive Machines higher to $10.60. This reflects recent increases in Street price targets to a range of $9.50 to $25 and growing focus on the company's push toward more recurring revenue and potential contract wins, despite political and award timing risks.Revenues Tell The Story For Intuitive Machines, Inc. (NASDAQ:LUNR) As Its Stock Soars 47%
Jan 14
LUNR: Recurring Revenue Shift And Lanteris Integration Will Define Consolidation Outcomes
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Intuitive Machines from US$18.50 to US$20.00, citing higher modeled revenue growth, a lower future P/E multiple of 53.61, and recent research that highlights the shift toward recurring revenue and expanded contracting opportunities after the Lanteris acquisition. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts frame Intuitive Machines as a company in the middle of an important shift, with growing attention on recurring revenue, scale, and its potential role in future space programs.LUNR: Execution Risks And Space Consolidation Wave Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Intuitive Machines higher, from about $8.83 to roughly $10.33, citing stronger long term revenue growth expectations following the Lanteris acquisition and industry consolidation tailwinds, even as they temper profit margin and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts acknowledge that Intuitive Machines is positioned to benefit from growing demand in the space sector, but they continue to frame the stock as a high execution risk story with limited valuation support at current levels.LUNR: Recent Acquisition Will Drive New Contract Wins Across Key Sectors
Analysts have nudged up their fair value estimate for Intuitive Machines to $15.50 from $15.38. This change reflects an improved revenue growth outlook and heightened opportunities resulting from recent industry consolidation and strategic acquisitions.Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LUNR) 27% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues
Nov 26LUNR: Expanding Service Offerings Will Drive Contract Opportunities And Sector Confidence
Analysts have modestly decreased their fair value estimate for Intuitive Machines from $15.43 to $15.38. This adjustment is attributed to tempered revenue forecasts and project timing, even though management has taken steps to expand contract opportunities and strengthen the company's financial position.LUNR: Financial Flexibility From Successful $300M Convertible Will Drive Future Momentum
Analysts have slightly revised their price targets for Intuitive Machines, with minor adjustments reflecting both softer guidance because of government contract delays and improved financial flexibility following a successful convertible note offering. Analyst Commentary Analyst coverage of Intuitive Machines reflects a mix of optimism around the company’s recent financial maneuvers as well as concerns regarding execution risks and revenue predictability.Expanding Lunar And Deep Space Markets Will Drive Long-Term Success
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for Intuitive Machines from $14.38 to $15.43 per share. They cite resilient investor demand and improved financial flexibility, despite recent adjustments to project timelines and fiscal outlooks.Investors Appear Satisfied With Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LUNR) Prospects As Shares Rocket 29%
Oct 03Expanding Lunar And Deep Space Markets Will Drive Long-Term Success
Analyst price targets for Intuitive Machines edged slightly lower to $14.38 as concerns over delayed mission launches and weaker Q2 results outweighed optimism from successful convertible debt issuance and improved financial flexibility. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite lower Q2 results due to charges from internal investment in Near Space Network Systems and delay of the IM-3 lander mission launch to 2H 2026, increasing concerns around revenue visibility and a less attractive civil space orientation.Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LUNR) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 34% Share Price Bounce
Jul 24US$15.93 - That's What Analysts Think Intuitive Machines, Inc. (NASDAQ:LUNR) Is Worth After These Results
May 15Intuitive Machines: Execution Risk Likely Caps Near-Term Upside
Apr 28
Government Reforms And NASA Contracts Will Expand Commercial Services
Expansion into new markets and service models could broaden service footprint and potentially increase revenue.Intuitive Machines Stock: Surges On Profit Outlook
Mar 24Intuitive Machines Stock: Knocked Over But Not Out
Mar 07Intuitive Machines: Shareholder Dilution And $438 Million Cash Raise Are Extremely Good News
Feb 05Intuitive Machines: Buy In On The Huge $4.8 Billion Win
Jan 24Intuitive Machines Has A High-Growth Trajectory With NSNS
Jan 14Intuitive Machines Is Cool And Overvalued
Jan 06Intuitive Machines Deserves A Spot In Your Portfolio, Just Wait For A Better Entry (Technical Analysis)
Dec 05Intuitive Machines: Why This Stock Has More Room To Run
Nov 26Sell The Intuitive Machines Pop
Nov 10Intuitive Machines Is About To Blow The Thrusters For Cash Flow
Oct 01Intuitive Machines Stock Surges On Huge $4.8 Billion Contract
Sep 24Intuitive Machines Rockets Higher On NASA Contract
Sep 18Intuitive Machines Wins New Moon Landing Contract, But Stock Dilution Is A Huge Risk
Sep 04Intuitive Machines: Dependence On NASA Is A Short-Term Risk
Aug 28Intuitive Machines Stock: It's Time To Buy (Rating Upgrade)
Aug 19Intuitive Machines: Capitalizing On Strong Growth From NASA Service Contracts
Jul 25Intuitive Machines: The Only Play For The Final Frontier
Apr 23Intuitive Machines Unlocks New Achievement, But Caution Is Warranted
Feb 16Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Intuitive Machines makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 210 | -84 | 93 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 220 | -133 | 66 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 226 | -182 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 217 | -138 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 228 | -284 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 204 | -76 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 158 | 13 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 135 | 23 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 80 | 111 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 87 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 84 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 86 | -10 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 86 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 69 | -40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 78 | -29 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 75 | -29 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 73 | -36 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 44 | -4 | 6 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: LUNR is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: LUNR is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: LUNR is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 45.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare LUNR's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: LUNR is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Aerospace & Defense industry (24.2%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: LUNR has a negative Return on Equity (-52.45%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/30 06:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Intuitive Machines, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ronald Epstein | BofA Global Research |
| Michael Crawford | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |