Stock Analysis

Would AeroVironment (NASDAQ:AVAV) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

NasdaqGS:AVAV
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for AeroVironment

What Is AeroVironment's Debt?

As you can see below, AeroVironment had US$187.8m of debt at April 2022, down from US$197.5m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$101.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$85.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:AVAV Debt to Equity History August 30th 2022

How Healthy Is AeroVironment's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that AeroVironment had liabilities of US$101.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$204.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$101.9m and US$164.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$39.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Having regard to AeroVironment's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the US$2.28b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AeroVironment's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, AeroVironment reported revenue of US$446m, which is a gain of 13%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, AeroVironment had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$8.7m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$32m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for AeroVironment that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.