AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Those holding AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 4.1% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Aerospace & Defense industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider AeroVironment as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
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How AeroVironment Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, AeroVironment has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think AeroVironment's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like AeroVironment's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.4% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.9% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why AeroVironment's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What Does AeroVironment's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in AeroVironment have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of AeroVironment's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for AeroVironment with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Discover if AeroVironment might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.