Stock Analysis

At US$67.47, Is Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ:APOG) Worth Looking At Closely?

NasdaqGS:APOG
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While Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ:APOG) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading around its 52-week high. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at Apogee Enterprises’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Apogee Enterprises

What Is Apogee Enterprises Worth?

Apogee Enterprises appears to be overvalued by 27% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$67.47 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of $52.95. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Furthermore, Apogee Enterprises’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

What kind of growth will Apogee Enterprises generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:APOG Earnings and Revenue Growth September 19th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Apogee Enterprises, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -1.1%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? If you believe APOG should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on APOG for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Apogee Enterprises at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Apogee Enterprises and we think they deserve your attention.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.