Stock Analysis

Despite delivering investors losses of 44% over the past 3 years, PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL) has been growing its earnings

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 44% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

While the last three years has been tough for PayPal Holdings shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

Check out our latest analysis for PayPal Holdings

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Although the share price is down over three years, PayPal Holdings actually managed to grow EPS by 1.7% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

It's pretty reasonable to suspect the market was previously to bullish on the stock, and has since moderated expectations. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 8.1% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching PayPal Holdings more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:PYPL Earnings and Revenue Growth January 18th 2025

PayPal Holdings is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling PayPal Holdings stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

Advertisement

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that PayPal Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 39% in the last twelve months. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 4% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. If you would like to research PayPal Holdings in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

We will like PayPal Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:PYPL

PayPal Holdings

Operates a technology platform that enables digital payments for merchants and consumers worldwide.

Outstanding track record and undervalued.

Advertisement

Updated Narratives

BL
BlackGoat
GOOG logo
BlackGoat on Alphabet ·

Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight

Fair Value:US$324.481.3% undervalued
75 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
BE
Bejgal
MNSO logo
Bejgal on MINISO Group Holding ·

MINISO's fair value is projected at 26.69 with an anticipated PE ratio shift of 20x

Fair Value:US$26.6926.7% undervalued
44 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8147.4% undervalued
9 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3405.9% undervalued
136 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
89 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$232.7922.6% undervalued
926 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative