Stock Analysis

Is Dividend Hike and Buyback Signaling a New Chapter for Bank of N.T. Butterfield (NTB)?

  • In the past week, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son reported higher second quarter earnings, approved a 14% increase in its quarterly dividend, and launched a new share repurchase program while finalizing a board appointment with extensive sector experience.
  • This combination of earnings growth, capital returns, and reinforcement of board expertise signals the bank’s confidence in its financial health and commitment to supporting shareholder value.
  • We'll explore how the dividend increase and share buyback announcement shape Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son's investment narrative.

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Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son, you need confidence in the bank’s ability to manage capital effectively amid modest revenue growth. The latest quarterly earnings, dividend increase, and expanded buyback plan may reinforce the company’s key strength, returning capital to shareholders, but they do not materially reduce the main short-term risk of liquidity pressures from deposit outflows or margin stress in a low-growth environment.

The most relevant recent announcement is the 14% dividend increase to US$0.50 per share, signaling ongoing capital returns despite forecasts of declining earnings. This move highlights the bank’s focus on maintaining shareholder support, though sustaining such returns could be challenged by softer earnings projections and persistent industry headwinds like pressured net interest margins.

However, if anticipated deposit outflows accelerate or central bank rate cuts further compress net interest margins, investors should be aware that ...

Read the full narrative on Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son (it's free!)

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son is projected to reach $599.7 million in revenue and $195.9 million in earnings by 2028. This outlook is based on a -0.8% annual revenue decline and a $20.7 million decrease in earnings from the current $216.6 million figure.

Uncover how Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son's forecasts yield a $51.75 fair value, a 13% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NTB Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025
NTB Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025

Simply Wall St Community members have provided three fair value estimates for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son, ranging from US$51.75 up to US$167.76 per share. While some are optimistic about capital returns, others remain cautious, reflecting how much investor opinions can differ, explore these viewpoints to see which factors matter most to you.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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