Stock Analysis

Hilltop Holdings (NYSE:HTH) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.16

NYSE:HTH
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Hilltop Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:HTH) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.16 on 24th of February. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 2.0%, which is below the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Hilltop Holdings

Hilltop Holdings' Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive.

Hilltop Holdings has established itself as a dividend paying company, given its 6-year history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Based on Hilltop Holdings' last earnings report, the payout ratio is at a decent 37%, meaning that the company is able to pay out its dividend with a bit of room to spare.

Looking forward, EPS is forecast to rise by 9.6% over the next 3 years. Analysts estimate the future payout ratio will be 41% over the same time period, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NYSE:HTH Historic Dividend January 30th 2023

Hilltop Holdings Is Still Building Its Track Record

Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. Since 2017, the annual payment back then was $0.24, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.64. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 18% a year over that time. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

Hilltop Holdings Could Grow Its Dividend

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Hilltop Holdings has impressed us by growing EPS at 5.1% per year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.

In Summary

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Hilltop Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.