Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Community Bank System, Inc. (NYSE:CBU)?

NYSE:CBU
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Community Bank System, Inc. (NYSE:CBU), operating in the financial services industry based in United States, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NYSE over the last few months. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Community Bank System’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Community Bank System

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What is Community Bank System worth?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 34%, trading at US$68.37 compared to my intrinsic value of $50.94. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Community Bank System’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Community Bank System look like?

NYSE:CBU Past and Future Earnings, November 6th 2019
NYSE:CBU Past and Future Earnings, November 6th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Community Bank System’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in CBU’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe CBU should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CBU for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for CBU, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Community Bank System. You can find everything you need to know about Community Bank System in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Community Bank System, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.