Stock Analysis

Valley National Bancorp's (NASDAQ:VLY) Dividend Will Be $0.11

NasdaqGS:VLY
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Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:VLY) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.11 per share on the 3rd of October. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 3.8%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Valley National Bancorp

Valley National Bancorp's Payment Expected To Have Solid Earnings Coverage

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important.

Valley National Bancorp has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Based on Valley National Bancorp's last earnings report, the payout ratio is at a decent 44%, meaning that the company is able to pay out its dividend with a bit of room to spare.

The next 3 years are set to see EPS grow by 42.4%. The future payout ratio could be 29% over that time period, according to analyst estimates, which is a good look for the future of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:VLY Historic Dividend September 8th 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.657 in 2012 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.44. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 3.9% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. However, Valley National Bancorp has only grown its earnings per share at 4.3% per annum over the past five years. Growth of 4.3% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't bad in itself, but unless earnings growth pick up we wouldn't expect dividends to grow either.

An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 25% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

In Summary

Overall, we think Valley National Bancorp is a solid choice as a dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't raised this year. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Valley National Bancorp that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:VLY

Valley National Bancorp

Operates as the holding company for Valley National Bank that provides various commercial, private banking, retail, insurance, and wealth management financial services products.

Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.

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