Texas Capital Bancshares Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Texas Capital Bancshares is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 89.8% and 17% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 90.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.3% in 3 years.

Key information

89.8%

Earnings growth rate

90.8%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.8%
Revenue growth rate	17.0%
Future return on equity	8.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Texas Capital Bancshares: Non-Interest-Bearing Deposits Plummet But Buyback Continues

Jan 20

Do Texas Capital Bancshares' (NASDAQ:TCBI) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Sep 11

Should You Be Adding Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) To Your Watchlist Today?

Jun 07

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) Presents An Opportunity

Mar 08

Texas Capital Bancshares GAAP EPS of $0.74 misses by $0.30, revenue of $264.41M beats by $43.61M

Oct 19

Texas Capital Bancshares: BankDirect Divestiture Not Enough To Justify Steep Valuation Premium

Sep 25

Truist Financial to buy insurance premium finance company from Texas Capital

Sep 06

Texas Capital Bancshares GAAP EPS of $0.59 misses by $0.38, revenue of $231.77M beats by $17.17M

Jul 21

Texas Capital Will Still Emerge From The Troughs But Investors Must Be Patient

Jul 12

Texas Capital Bancshares: Love The Plan, But It Will Take Time

Feb 04

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Just Recorded A 6.1% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Jan 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:TCBI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	1,295	294	N/A	N/A	10
12/31/2025	1,210	260	N/A	N/A	10
12/31/2024	1,040	44	N/A	N/A	10
9/30/2024	827	9	589	650	N/A
6/30/2024	972	132	359	413	N/A
3/31/2024	996	159	416	451	N/A
12/31/2023	1,004	172	357	374	N/A
9/30/2023	1,268	369	106	120	N/A
6/30/2023	1,259	349	85	92	N/A
3/31/2023	1,198	314	83	93	N/A
12/31/2022	1,159	315	137	148	N/A
9/30/2022	904	163	320	325	N/A
6/30/2022	861	165	361	365	N/A
3/31/2022	898	202	642	532	N/A
12/31/2021	937	235	769	657	N/A
9/30/2021	935	232	1,123	1,016	N/A
6/30/2021	963	248	932	826	N/A
3/31/2021	897	144	1,050	1,053	N/A
12/31/2020	796	57	2,637	2,640	N/A
9/30/2020	812	61	2,355	2,359	N/A
6/30/2020	835	92	976	987	N/A
3/31/2020	889	204	1,366	1,381	N/A
12/31/2019	997	302	-257	-240	N/A
9/30/2019	954	310	-667	-698	N/A
6/30/2019	937	307	575	515	N/A
3/31/2019	925	301	-456	-521	N/A
12/31/2018	906	284	-617	-680	N/A
9/30/2018	913	264	-407	-421	N/A
6/30/2018	872	237	N/A	-227	N/A
3/31/2018	838	217	N/A	-24	N/A
12/31/2017	792	187	N/A	132	N/A
9/30/2017	745	191	N/A	-158	N/A
6/30/2017	703	175	N/A	-469	N/A
3/31/2017	669	163	N/A	-570	N/A
12/31/2016	624	145	N/A	-726	N/A
9/30/2016	582	132	N/A	-450	N/A
6/30/2016	560	126	N/A	-72	N/A
3/31/2016	546	125	N/A	39	N/A
12/31/2015	551	135	N/A	69	N/A
9/30/2015	544	138	N/A	133	N/A
6/30/2015	534	138	N/A	203	N/A
3/31/2015	515	133	N/A	155	N/A
12/31/2014	497	127	N/A	158	N/A
9/30/2014	483	119	N/A	147	N/A
6/30/2014	467	116	N/A	104	N/A
3/31/2014	451	106	N/A	156	N/A
12/31/2013	445	114	N/A	191	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TCBI's forecast earnings growth (89.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: TCBI's earnings (89.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TCBI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TCBI's revenue (17% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TCBI's revenue (17% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TCBI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.3%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 01:27
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jason Goldberg	Barclays
Jared Shaw	Barclays
Brandon Berman	BofA Global Research

Texas Capital Bancshares Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 90%

Price target increased by 8.3% to US$78.71

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%, revenue upgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Recent updates

Now 21% undervalued

Now 22% undervalued

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 90%

Texas Capital Bancshares: Preferred Shares Provide Attractive Yield

Price target increased by 8.3% to US$78.71

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Reports Net Charge-Offs for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%, revenue upgraded

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 17, 2024

Texas Capital Bancshares: Still A 'Show Me' Story

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Texas Capital Launches Texas Capital Direct Lending Platform

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc Appoints Todd Jordan to Serve as Austin Market President and - Leader of Austin Middle Market Banking

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Reports Net Charge-Offs for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 18, 2024

Texas Capital Bancshares: Downgrading The Preferred To Hold On Lower Yields

Texas Capital Appoints Brett Fenn as Managing Director and Head of Business Banking

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Appoints Mark Midkiff to Board of Directors

Texas Capital Bancshares: NIM Returns To Growth, But AOCI Worries Again

Tim J. Storms Plans to Retire as Managing Director and Chief Risk Officer of Capital Bancshares, Inc. and Texas Capital Bank on or Around June 15, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 18, 2024

New minor risk - Insider selling

President exercised options and sold US$372k worth of stock

President exercised options and sold US$5.1m worth of stock

Texas Capital Bancshares: Non-Interest-Bearing Deposits Plummet But Buyback Continues

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Reports Net Charge-Offs for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2023

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 18, 2024

Independent Chairman recently bought US$498k worth of stock

Independent Chairman recently bought US$436k worth of stock

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 19, 2023

Texas Capital Appoints Amos McDonald to Lead Business Banking

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Appoints Marc Graham as Head of Energy

Do Texas Capital Bancshares' (NASDAQ:TCBI) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Independent Chairman recently bought US$308k worth of stock

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Reports Net Charge-Offs for the Second Quarter of 2023

Price target increased by 9.6% to US$63.57

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 20, 2023

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Launches Innovative Onboarding Technology Solution for Commercial Businesses

Should You Be Adding Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) To Your Watchlist Today?

Independent Chairman recently bought US$238k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Independent Chairman recently bought US$1.1m worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Price target decreased by 7.1% to US$60.93

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22%

Independent Director recently bought US$326k worth of stock

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) Presents An Opportunity

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Reports Net Charge-Offs for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2022

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Appoints Dustin Cosper as Head of Commercial Real Estate

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Jan 18, 2023

Independent Director recently bought US$284k worth of stock

AFCO Credit Corporation completed the acquisition of BankDirect Capital Finance from Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (NasdaqGS:TCBI).

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Executive VP & Chief Risk Officer recently bought US$252k worth of stock

Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Announces Net Charge Off for the Third Quarter Ended September 2022

Texas Capital Bancshares GAAP EPS of $0.74 misses by $0.30, revenue of $264.41M beats by $43.61M

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 19, 2022

Texas Capital Bancshares: BankDirect Divestiture Not Enough To Justify Steep Valuation Premium