Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TCBI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.0b

Texas Capital Bancshares Valuation

Is TCBI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCBI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCBI ($87.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($110.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCBI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCBI?

Key metric: As TCBI is a barely profitable bank we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for TCBI. This is calculated by dividing TCBI's market cap by their current book value.
What is TCBI's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.3x
BookUS$3.05b
Market CapUS$4.02b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does TCBI's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for TCBI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
TFSL TFS Financial
2.1x4.0%US$4.0b
UCB United Community Banks
1.2x18.8%US$3.9b
FULT Fulton Financial
1.3x13.1%US$3.8b
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares
1.3x50.7%US$4.3b
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares
1.3x90.2%US$4.0b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: TCBI is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does TCBI's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.002xn/aUS$27.98m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.0003xn/aUS$2.18m
BKES.F Banco Espírito Santo
n/an/aUS$56.01k
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
n/an/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PB range
TCBI 1.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies128PB00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: TCBI is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.3x) compared to the US Banks industry average (1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCBI's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCBI PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.3x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TCBI's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TCBI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$87.04
US$81.08
-6.9%
9.9%US$92.00US$60.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$76.80
US$81.43
+6.0%
9.6%US$92.00US$60.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$70.42
US$72.57
+3.1%
10.8%US$80.00US$49.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$67.22
US$65.57
-2.5%
12.3%US$75.00US$47.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$63.44
US$65.57
+3.4%
12.3%US$75.00US$47.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$60.66
US$63.18
+4.2%
11.8%US$74.00US$47.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$60.28
US$63.18
+4.8%
11.8%US$74.00US$47.00n/a14
May ’25US$58.37
US$63.04
+8.0%
11.7%US$74.00US$47.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$59.59
US$66.50
+11.6%
11.8%US$79.00US$47.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$58.10
US$67.97
+17.0%
9.5%US$79.00US$53.00n/a15
Feb ’25US$60.52
US$67.97
+12.3%
9.5%US$79.00US$53.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$64.63
US$63.30
-2.1%
10.2%US$75.00US$50.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$56.63
US$61.57
+8.7%
10.0%US$71.00US$49.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$54.36
US$62.75
+15.4%
10.5%US$72.00US$49.00US$76.8014
Oct ’24US$58.90
US$66.21
+12.4%
11.2%US$76.00US$49.00US$70.4214
Sep ’24US$63.60
US$66.79
+5.0%
11.5%US$76.00US$49.00US$67.2214
Aug ’24US$62.64
US$66.79
+6.6%
11.5%US$76.00US$49.00US$63.4414
Jul ’24US$51.50
US$58.07
+12.8%
9.1%US$67.00US$47.00US$60.6614
Jun ’24US$47.58
US$58.79
+23.6%
10.7%US$69.00US$47.00US$60.2814
May ’24US$49.10
US$58.79
+19.7%
10.7%US$69.00US$47.00US$58.3714
Apr ’24US$48.96
US$62.36
+27.4%
13.8%US$78.00US$48.00US$59.5914
Mar ’24US$65.53
US$66.77
+1.9%
12.5%US$80.00US$49.00US$58.1013
Feb ’24US$67.41
US$66.38
-1.5%
11.9%US$80.00US$49.00US$60.5213
Jan ’24US$60.31
US$64.31
+6.6%
11.2%US$75.00US$50.00US$64.6313
Dec ’23US$59.74
US$64.00
+7.1%
11.2%US$75.00US$50.00US$56.6313
Nov ’23US$59.20
US$64.00
+8.1%
11.2%US$75.00US$50.00US$54.3613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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