Stock Analysis

Territorial Bancorp's (NASDAQ:TBNK) Dividend Will Be $0.23

NasdaqGS:TBNK
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Territorial Bancorp Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TBNK) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.23 per share on 23rd of November. The dividend yield is 4.9% based on this payment, which is a little bit low compared to the other companies in the industry.

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Territorial Bancorp's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end.

Territorial Bancorp has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Based on Territorial Bancorp's last earnings report, the payout ratio is at a decent 49%, meaning that the company is able to pay out its dividend with a bit of room to spare.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 21.3% over the next 3 years. Fortunately, analysts forecast the future payout ratio to be 61% over the same time horizon, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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NasdaqGS:TBNK Historic Dividend November 1st 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $0.36 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $1.02. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. Territorial Bancorp has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Although it's important to note that Territorial Bancorp's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. Growth of 0.6% may indicate that the company has limited investment opportunity so it is returning its earnings to shareholders instead. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.

In Summary

In summary, we are pleased with the dividend remaining consistent, and we think there is a good chance of this continuing in the future. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Territorial Bancorp (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Territorial Bancorp not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.