Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NasdaqCM:RBKB using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
NasdaqCM:RBKB DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Rhinebeck Bancorp's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Rhinebeck Bancorp's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Rhinebeck Bancorp's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Rhinebeck Bancorp's earnings are expected to grow by 9.1% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Unable to determine if Rhinebeck Bancorp is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Rhinebeck Bancorp's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
3/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Fundamentally a bank's business is based upon borrowing and lending money, for
this reason they typically have high levels of debt and we analyse them
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Rhinebeck Bancorp's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Michael J. Quinn has been the President and Chief Executive Officer at Rhinebeck Savings Bank since July 1, 2004 and serves as its Director. Mr. Quinn served as President and Chief Operating Officer at Rhinebeck Savings Bank. He has been Director at Rhinebeck Bancorp MHC since 2001. He is the President, Chief Executive Officer and Director of Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc since 1994 and 2001.
No earnings data for Rhinebeck Bancorp, not possible to compare to compensation.
Michael's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The tenure for the Rhinebeck Bancorp management team is about average.
CEO, President & Director
Senior VP & COO
COO & Senior VP
Chief Risk Officer
Chief Credit Officer & Senior VP
President of Rhinebeck Asset Management
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Rhinebeck Bancorp board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. provides banking services to customers in the central Hudson Valley region of New York State. The company offers deposits; automobile loans; commercial real estate loans, including multi-family real estate loans and commercial construction loans; commercial business loans; and one- to four-family residential real estate loans. It also provides brokerage and financial planning services; and life insurance and investment products to individuals and businesses. It operates through 11 branch offices located in Dutchess, Orange, and Ulster Counties, New York. Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Poughkeepsie, New York.
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