XPeng Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

XPeng is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 56.8% and 28.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 50.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -0.4% in 3 years.

Key information

56.8%

Earnings growth rate

50.1%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth20.9%
Revenue growth rate28.7%
Future return on equity-0.4%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 Feb 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

After Leaping 32% XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Jan 31
After Leaping 32% XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Looks Just Right With A 32% Price Jump

Jan 31
XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Looks Just Right With A 32% Price Jump

XPeng: Positive Outlook Backed By Robust Deliveries Growth

Jan 03

Estimating The Fair Value Of XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV)

Dec 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV)

Don't Miss This Emerging Risk From XPeng's Q3 2024 Earnings

Nov 22

XPeng: The Pullback Is Almost Complete - Nearing The Buy Zone

Oct 18

XPeng: Cautious Optimism Backed By Aggressive Global Expansion

Oct 10

XPeng: Inferior EV Investment Choice

Sep 11

Further Upside For XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 29% Bounce

Sep 06
Further Upside For XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 29% Bounce

XPeng Stock Should Get A Boost From ADAS Advances, Increased Exports, New EVs

Aug 28

XPeng Has Too Many Risks And No Convincing Reasons To Invest Here

Jul 13

XPeng: The Moat Is Expanding

Jul 01

XPeng: Improving Margin Trend

May 27

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) After Its First-Quarter Report

May 24
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) After Its First-Quarter Report

Is XPeng (NYSE:XPEV) A Risky Investment?

May 22
Is XPeng (NYSE:XPEV) A Risky Investment?

XPEV: Understand The Risk

May 18

XPeng's Reversal Is Almost Here - Pending Bullish Support

Apr 19

Market Cool On XPeng Inc.'s (NYSE:XPEV) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Lower

Apr 16
Market Cool On XPeng Inc.'s (NYSE:XPEV) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Lower

XPeng: Sitting On The Fence For Now

Mar 22

XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

Mar 22
XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

XPeng: Valuation Improved, But I Am Still Not Buying (Rating Upgrade)

Mar 15

XPeng's Flying Car Won't Make The Stock Soar Any Time Soon

Jan 24

XPeng: Back On Track With Smart Electric Platform Architecture

Dec 18

XPeng Q3: Margin Pressures Persist

Nov 19

XPeng: Mr. Market May Have Overreacted To The Israel Deliveries

Oct 16

XPeng: Ignore The Noise

Oct 07

XPeng: Investors Overreact To DiDi Deal

Aug 30

XPeng: Deteriorating Margin Trend Is A Concern (Rating Downgrade)

Aug 21

XPeng: Don't Pay More Than Volkswagen Did (Rating Downgrade)

Aug 05

XPeng: Positive Volkswagen Signals

Jul 27

XPeng: Time To Sell

Jul 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:XPEV - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202783,2384,897N/AN/A1
12/31/202693,4016214,256N/A33
12/31/202571,185-2,8132,394N/A35
12/31/202441,487-5,881-6,540N/A32
9/30/202437,812-5,808N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202436,239-7,887N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202433,191-9,407N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202330,676-10,376-1,355956N/A
9/30/202322,766-11,389N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202321,060-9,879-15,894-12,168N/A
3/31/202323,434-9,775N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202226,855-9,139-12,912-8,232N/A
9/30/202230,271-8,065N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202229,167-7,284N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202225,492-5,777N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202120,988-4,863-5,436-1,095N/A
9/30/202115,283-4,363N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202111,554-4,794N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20218,383-4,741-1,331-17N/A
12/31/20205,844-4,890-1,502-140N/A
9/30/20203,633-5,457-2,338-922N/A
6/30/20202,093-4,414-4,592-3,201N/A
3/31/20202,118-4,425-5,181-3,469N/A
12/31/20192,321-4,643-5,571-3,563N/A
12/31/201810-2,255-2,582-1,573N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: XPEV is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: XPEV is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: XPEV is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: XPEV's revenue (28.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: XPEV's revenue (28.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: XPEV is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/09 03:15
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

XPeng Inc. is covered by 53 analysts. 35 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Jia LouBOCI Research Ltd.
Ming-Hsun LeeBofA Global Research