Stock Analysis

Why Aptiv PLC (NYSE:APTV) Could Be Worth Watching

NYSE:APTV
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Let's talk about the popular Aptiv PLC (NYSE:APTV). The company's shares saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$90.47 and falling to the lows of US$76.20. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Aptiv's current trading price of US$76.20 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Aptiv’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Aptiv

What's The Opportunity In Aptiv?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 4.1% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Aptiv today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $79.46, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Aptiv’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from Aptiv?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:APTV Earnings and Revenue Growth March 15th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Aptiv, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Currently, APTV appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on APTV for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on APTV should the price fluctuate below its true value.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Aptiv at this point in time. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Aptiv (1 can't be ignored!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

If you are no longer interested in Aptiv, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Find out whether Aptiv is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.