Stock Analysis

Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$30.84?

NasdaqGS:LI
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Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) saw a decent share price growth of 12% on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Li Auto’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Li Auto

What Is Li Auto Worth?

According to our valuation model, Li Auto seems to be fairly priced at around 1.67% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Li Auto today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $30.33, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Li Auto’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Li Auto?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:LI Earnings and Revenue Growth April 12th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Li Auto's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in LI’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on LI, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Li Auto as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Li Auto, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Li Auto, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Li Auto is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.