Fox Factory Holding Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Fox Factory Holding's revenue is forecast to decline at 1.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 145.4% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 152.6% per annum.
Key information
145.4%
Earnings growth rate
152.57%
EPS growth rate
| Auto Components earnings growth | 32.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | -1.5% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 04 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 01
FOXF: Board Transformation And Cost Focus Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Fox Factory Holding by $2 to $26, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, profit margin, and forward P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Analysts are adjusting their views on Fox Factory Holding around a tighter valuation range, with recent research focusing on how updated assumptions affect fair value and P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Apr 16
FOXF: Cost Focus And Board Transformation Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Fox Factory Holding to $26 from $25, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates and forward P/E, while keeping core growth and margin expectations essentially unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a slightly higher price target of $26, up from $25, with analysts broadly keeping their core assumptions around growth and margins intact.Seeking Alpha • Apr 06
Fox Factory: Still Offers A Nice Long-Term Ride Despite The Tough Road
Summary Fox Factory Holding Corp. remains a "Buy" despite recent share price underperformance and mixed financial results. Cost-cutting and asset sales are expected to drive EBITDA up to $174–$203 million in 2026, offsetting revenue declines. FOXF trades at attractive absolute and relative valuations, ranking among the cheapest peers on key multiples. Management’s focus on margin improvement and operational rationalization supports the investment thesis amid near-term revenue headwinds. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 02
FOXF: Cost Realignment And Board Refresh Will Drive Future Upside
Fox Factory Holding's updated analyst price target of $19, down from $25, reflects analysts' recalibrated views on slower revenue growth, lower margins, a higher discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mixed but generally cautious stance toward Fox Factory Holding, with some price targets moving lower and commentary highlighting execution and growth risks in key segments.Narrative Update • Mar 18
FOXF: Cost Focus And Debt Reduction Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Fox Factory within a relatively tight range, with moves such as Stifel's lift to $26 from $25 and Roth Capital's trim to $19 from $21. These changes reflect mixed views on weaker Bike and Marucci trends versus efforts to refocus on cost alignment, free cash flow, and debt reduction.
Narrative Update • Mar 04
FOXF: Free Cash Flow Focus And Margin Gains Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have modestly lifted their blended price target on Fox Factory to around $26, reflecting updated assumptions that combine slower modeled revenue growth with a higher projected profit margin and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research is sending mixed, but generally constructive, signals on Fox Factory Holding, with some firms trimming expectations while others see enough progress to support modestly higher valuation levels.Narrative Update • Feb 18
FOXF: Free Cash Flow And Debt Reduction Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their $21 price target on Fox Factory to $19, reflecting updated views on weaker Bike and Marucci trends, a stronger focus on free cash flow and debt paydown, and slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary points to a mixed setup for Fox Factory Holding, with softer Bike and Marucci trends on one side and a sharper focus on free cash flow and balance sheet health on the other.Narrative Update • Feb 04
FOXF: Cost Alignment And Free Cash Flow Focus Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have lowered their price targets on Fox Factory to a range of about $19 to $21, reflecting concerns around softer Bike and Marucci demand, cost alignment efforts, and an emphasis on free cash flow and debt reduction. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to a continued contribution from the Powered Vehicles Group, where new motorcycle suspension offerings are cited as a source of support for revenue and execution.Narrative Update • Jan 21
FOXF: Cost Alignment And Free Cash Flow Priorities Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Fox Factory to a range of about $19 to $21, reflecting caution around Bike segment weakness and softer Marucci orders, partially balanced by efforts to align costs, support free cash flow, and manage debt. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around cautious views on execution and growth, with price targets moving to the high teens and Neutral ratings maintained.Narrative Update • Jan 07
FOXF: Powered Vehicles And Aftermarket Demand Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Fox Factory, with reductions such as Roth Capital moving from $21 to $19 and another firm shifting from $32 to $20, citing ongoing softness in Bike and Marucci, cost realignment efforts, and a focus on free cash flow and debt repayment. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Fox Factory highlights a mixed setup, with valuation and execution views shaped by weaker end markets in Bike and Marucci, tempered by areas of resilience in other segments and a sharper focus on cash generation.Narrative Update • Dec 21
FOXF: Margin Reset And Aftermarket Strength Will Drive Upside Opportunity
Analysts have cut their fair value estimate for Fox Factory Holding to $28 from $38, reflecting reduced expectations for revenue growth and profit margins amid softer Specialty Sports demand and cautious retailer inventory management. Analyst Commentary Despite the recent cut in fair value, bullish analysts see reasons to stay engaged with Fox Factory Holding, noting that the current reset in expectations could pave the way for improved execution and a cleaner setup into future cycles.Analysis Article • Dec 17
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) With Shares Advancing 25%
Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25...Analysis Article • Dec 17
We Think Fox Factory Holding (NASDAQ:FOXF) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Dec 07
FOXF: Powered Vehicles Strength Will Support Future Upside Despite Guidance Reset
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Fox Factory Holding by roughly one third to the low $20s, citing weaker than expected Q3 earnings, a cut to FY25 guidance, and softening demand in the Specialty Sports Group as retailers rein in bike and Marucci inventory orders. Analyst Commentary Analysts see the latest results and guidance reset as a mixed signal for Fox Factory Holding, with near term execution risks offset by select pockets of resilience across the portfolio.Narrative Update • Nov 23
FOXF: Momentum In Powered Vehicles Group Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered their price target for Fox Factory Holding significantly, from $28.14 to $22.86. They cite recent weakness in the Specialty Sports Group segment and a softer sales outlook as key factors.Narrative Update • Nov 08
FOXF: Future Segment Momentum Will Drive Recovery Amid Short-Term Headwinds
Analysts have reduced their price target for Fox Factory Holding from approximately $33 to $28.14. They cite weaker third-quarter results, lower guidance for fiscal year 2025, and ongoing softness in certain business segments, despite continued strength in others.Analysis Article • Sep 14
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:FOXF) P/S
It's not a stretch to say that Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Premium Product Launches And Global Expansion Will Secure Success
The recent increase in Fox Factory Holding’s consensus price target reflects improved revenue growth forecasts and a higher future P/E multiple, bringing the analyst price target up from $30.00 to $31.57. What's in the News Issued Q3 2025 net sales guidance of $370 million to $390 million and FY 2025 net sales guidance of $1.45 billion to $1.51 billion, factoring in year-to-date performance and tariff impacts.Analysis Article • Jul 16
Are Investors Undervaluing Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) By 29%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Fox Factory Holding fair value estimate is US$37.63 Current...Analysis Article • May 31
At US$25.65, Is Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) Worth Looking At Closely?
While Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...Analysis Article • May 10
We Think Fox Factory Holding (NASDAQ:FOXF) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Apr 09
Some Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 30% Pounding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) share price has dived 30% in the...Analysis Article • Mar 07
Fox Factory Holding's (NASDAQ:FOXF) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings...Analysis Article • Feb 20
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF)
There wouldn't be many who think Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is...Analysis Article • Feb 01
These 4 Measures Indicate That Fox Factory Holding (NASDAQ:FOXF) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jan 09
Should You Investigate Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) At US$28.86?
Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement...Seeking Alpha • Dec 25
Fox Factory: No Sign Of Recovery
Summary Fox Factory's 3Q24 revenue missed expectations, coming in at $359 million versus the anticipated $366.8 million, attributed to macroeconomic conditions and reduced OEM forecasts. Margins remain near historical lows due to low revenue impacting fixed cost absorption, despite slight QoQ revenue improvement and cost control measures. Record-high inventory levels relative to smaller revenues signal potential lower demand, raising concerns about future performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 03
These Analysts Think Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:FOXF) Sales Are Under Threat
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ), with the analysts...Analysis Article • Oct 17
Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:FOXF) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
When close to half the companies in the Auto Components industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or...Analysis Article • Sep 29
Should You Investigate Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) At US$41.81?
While Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a decent share...
New Narrative • Sep 24
Shifting To Aftermarket And Innovation Drives Growth And Stabilizes Revenue Streams
Shift towards aftermarket business and strategic acquisitions aim to diversify income sources and tap into new markets, potentially stabilizing and increasing future revenue.Analysis Article • Sep 11
Is Fox Factory Holding (NASDAQ:FOXF) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Aug 26
Fox Factory: Expected Outlook Downgrade, The Welcome Start Of Some Tough Management Actions
Summary Management's revised outlook paints a much more realistic picture for the second half and derisks the investment case. Changes in management and contraction of the manufacturing footprint are concrete examples of the tough decisions required to improve margin performance. The Marucci acquisition (fairly criticized by me and others at the time) seems to be performing above expectations, even in the current environment, and that should be recognized. The investment case can be justified under a conservative set of assumptions, but patience is warranted as the cyclical downturn might not yet be over. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 09
We Think You Can Look Beyond Fox Factory Holding's (NASDAQ:FOXF) Lackluster Earnings
Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our...Seeking Alpha • Aug 07
Fox Factory: The Growth Isn't There
Summary Fox Factory is a multi-product company, mostly known for suspension products in the mountain bike business. Recent acquisitions have boosted growth, but the company faced headwinds in 2024, leading to lower guidance and a stock drop. Fox Factory's margin problem and increased debt from acquisitions are impacting profitability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 16
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:FOXF) P/E
Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.1x might make it look like a...Analysis Article • May 08
What Is Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:FOXF) Share Price Doing?
Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth...Seeking Alpha • May 05
Fox Factory: Some Stability, At Lower Levels
Summary Fox Factory's woes continue as it faces lower earnings and offered a dismal outlook for 2024. The company designs and manufactures high-performance suspension products for various applications. Despite current challenges, long-term growth potential remains, with the company aiming for $2 billion in sales by 2025 as this could drive a spectacular recovery. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 02
Getting In Cheap On Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) Is Unlikely
There wouldn't be many who think Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of...Seeking Alpha • Feb 08
Fox Factory: Wide Moat And Strong Margins In A Niche Industry
Summary Fox Factory’s revenue and EBITDA have grown at a CAGR of +19% during the last decade, with impressive consistency in its upward trajectory. FOXF has an extremely attractive business model, owing to its deep expertise, innovation, and relationships with leading OEMs. This positions the business for long-term success regardless of competition. The organic trajectory of the business, in conjunction with M&A and industry tailwinds, should ensure healthy growth in the coming years. FOXF is completely outperforming its peers, contributing to enhanced shareholder value. We attribute this to the company’s wide moat and growth strategy. FOXF’s valuation appears attractive as an entry point, falling below its historical average and trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 25
Is Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF) Potentially Undervalued?
Fox Factory Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:FOXF ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...Seeking Alpha • Jan 24
Fox Factory Holding: Temporary Pressures Have Created A Buying Opportunity
Summary Fox Factory Holding manufactures performance products for various vehicles and has a dominant presence in the US. FOXF's margins have come under pressure recently, but I view these pressures to be temporary. Along with margin pressures, the company announced an acquisition that resulted in a sell-off in the share price, creating a buying opportunity for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 10
Here's Why Fox Factory Holding (NASDAQ:FOXF) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Dec 25
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXF)
It's not a stretch to say that Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:FOXF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.9x...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 1,425 | 33 | 88 | 166 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,413 | 20 | 89 | 163 | 6 |
| 1/2/2026 | 1,467 | -545 | 27 | 61 | N/A |
| 10/3/2025 | 1,459 | -258 | 85 | 124 | N/A |
| 7/4/2025 | 1,442 | -252 | 91 | 133 | N/A |
| 4/4/2025 | 1,415 | -250 | 82 | 123 | N/A |
| 1/3/2025 | 1,394 | 7 | 88 | 132 | N/A |
| 9/27/2024 | 1,374 | 11 | 55 | 102 | N/A |
| 6/28/2024 | 1,346 | 41 | 173 | 218 | N/A |
| 3/29/2024 | 1,398 | 76 | 209 | 255 | N/A |
| 12/29/2023 | 1,464 | 121 | 132 | 179 | N/A |
| 9/29/2023 | 1,540 | 170 | 217 | 257 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,618 | 185 | 222 | 269 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,624 | 199 | 217 | 263 | N/A |
| 12/30/2022 | 1,602 | 205 | 143 | 187 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,536 | 190 | -79 | -29 | N/A |
| 7/1/2022 | 1,474 | 183 | -151 | -104 | N/A |
| 4/1/2022 | 1,396 | 174 | -192 | -146 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,299 | 164 | 8 | 63 | N/A |
| 10/1/2021 | 1,219 | 158 | 81 | 132 | N/A |
| 7/2/2021 | 1,132 | 152 | 107 | 158 | N/A |
| 4/2/2021 | 987 | 120 | 121 | 182 | N/A |
| 1/1/2021 | 891 | 91 | 26 | 82 | N/A |
| 10/2/2020 | 814 | 81 | 70 | 144 | N/A |
| 7/3/2020 | 765 | 73 | -10 | 60 | N/A |
| 4/3/2020 | 774 | 83 | -26 | 33 | N/A |
| 1/3/2020 | 751 | 93 | 21 | 75 | N/A |
| 9/27/2019 | 722 | 91 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
| 6/28/2019 | 686 | 85 | N/A | 53 | N/A |
| 3/29/2019 | 651 | 81 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 12/28/2018 | 619 | 84 | N/A | 65 | N/A |
| 9/28/2018 | 584 | 67 | N/A | 87 | N/A |
| 6/29/2018 | 535 | 58 | N/A | 60 | N/A |
| 3/30/2018 | 499 | 54 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 12/29/2017 | 476 | 43 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 9/29/2017 | 466 | 50 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 448 | 48 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 429 | 43 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
| 12/30/2016 | 403 | 36 | N/A | 39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 387 | 33 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 7/1/2016 | 384 | 30 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 4/1/2016 | 379 | 27 | N/A | 26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 367 | 25 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 345 | 21 | N/A | 27 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 329 | 21 | N/A | 29 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FOXF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: FOXF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: FOXF is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: FOXF's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FOXF's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if FOXF's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 22:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/02 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/02 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Fox Factory Holding Corp. is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| Brennan Matthews | Berenberg |
| Andrew Didora | BofA Global Research |