Fox Factory Holding Corp.

NasdaqGS:FOXF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.2b

Fox Factory Holding Valuation

Is FOXF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FOXF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FOXF ($29.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($20.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FOXF is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FOXF?

Key metric: As FOXF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FOXF. This is calculated by dividing FOXF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FOXF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio113.2x
EarningsUS$10.74m
Market CapUS$1.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FOXF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FOXF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.7x
ADNT Adient
81.5x33.7%US$1.5b
THRM Gentherm
17.8x23.9%US$1.2b
XPEL XPEL
23.1x15.4%US$1.1b
GTX Garrett Motion
8.3x12.8%US$1.9b
FOXF Fox Factory Holding
113.2x84.1%US$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FOXF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (113.2x) compared to the peer average (32.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FOXF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SEVC.F Sono Group
0.2xn/aUS$6.52m
CDTI CDTi Advanced Materials
1.8xn/aUS$1.87m
No more companies available in this PE range
FOXF 113.2xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FOXF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (113.2x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FOXF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FOXF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio113.2x
Fair PE Ratio68.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FOXF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (113.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FOXF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$29.17
US$40.13
+37.6%
13.0%US$50.00US$32.00n/a8
Dec ’25US$32.48
US$40.13
+23.5%
13.0%US$50.00US$32.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$34.02
US$40.13
+17.9%
13.0%US$50.00US$32.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$41.11
US$49.38
+20.1%
12.9%US$60.00US$43.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$40.48
US$51.25
+26.6%
13.8%US$65.00US$45.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$49.53
US$51.63
+4.2%
12.7%US$65.00US$45.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$47.48
US$51.13
+7.7%
13.6%US$65.00US$45.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$46.62
US$50.50
+8.3%
13.5%US$65.00US$45.00n/a8
May ’25US$38.89
US$56.88
+46.3%
13.2%US$72.00US$45.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$52.18
US$59.75
+14.5%
14.0%US$75.00US$50.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$52.87
US$59.75
+13.0%
14.0%US$75.00US$50.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$63.69
US$87.38
+37.2%
14.5%US$110.00US$70.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$67.48
US$89.63
+32.8%
15.3%US$110.00US$70.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$63.83
US$91.50
+43.3%
12.9%US$110.00US$74.00US$32.488
Nov ’24US$81.24
US$123.25
+51.7%
6.5%US$135.00US$112.00US$34.028
Oct ’24US$99.08
US$125.25
+26.4%
5.9%US$135.00US$112.00US$41.118
Sep ’24US$109.17
US$125.25
+14.7%
5.9%US$135.00US$112.00US$40.488
Aug ’24US$109.02
US$124.25
+14.0%
4.3%US$135.00US$119.00US$49.538
Jul ’24US$108.51
US$124.25
+14.5%
4.3%US$135.00US$119.00US$47.488
Jun ’24US$89.13
US$124.14
+39.3%
4.6%US$135.00US$119.00US$46.627
May ’24US$110.28
US$131.00
+18.8%
5.5%US$143.00US$120.00US$38.897
Apr ’24US$121.37
US$131.83
+8.6%
5.6%US$143.00US$120.00US$52.186
Mar ’24US$119.02
US$133.50
+12.2%
6.7%US$145.00US$120.00US$52.876
Feb ’24US$119.35
US$123.00
+3.1%
10.4%US$135.00US$100.00US$63.696
Jan ’24US$91.23
US$121.83
+33.5%
11.3%US$135.00US$100.00US$67.486
Dec ’23US$109.30
US$116.33
+6.4%
9.4%US$135.00US$100.00US$63.836

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 00:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/27
Annual Earnings2023/12/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Fox Factory Holding Corp. is covered by 17 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Craig KennisonBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
David KelleyBB&T Capital Markets