Gentherm Incorporated

NasdaqGS:THRM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.3b

Gentherm Valuation

Is THRM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of THRM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: THRM ($43.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($86.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: THRM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for THRM?

Key metric: As THRM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for THRM. This is calculated by dividing THRM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is THRM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.8x
EarningsUS$67.71m
Market CapUS$1.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does THRM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for THRM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average62.7x
XPEL XPEL
26x15.4%US$1.3b
FOXF Fox Factory Holding
125.8x84.1%US$1.4b
ADNT Adient
91.2x33.7%US$1.6b
GTX Garrett Motion
7.6x12.8%US$1.8b
THRM Gentherm
19.8x23.9%US$1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: THRM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (62.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does THRM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CDTI CDTi Advanced Materials
2.2xn/aUS$2.25m
No more companies available in this PE range
THRM 19.8xIndustry Avg. 19.8xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: THRM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is THRM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

THRM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: THRM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst THRM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$43.38
US$61.00
+40.6%
11.3%US$68.00US$50.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$43.27
US$61.00
+41.0%
11.3%US$68.00US$50.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$44.81
US$67.40
+50.4%
14.8%US$85.00US$56.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$50.54
US$67.40
+33.4%
14.8%US$85.00US$56.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$54.10
US$67.40
+24.6%
14.8%US$85.00US$56.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$50.05
US$69.20
+38.3%
12.2%US$85.00US$60.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$53.94
US$69.20
+28.3%
12.2%US$85.00US$60.00n/a5
May ’25US$51.92
US$69.20
+33.3%
12.2%US$85.00US$60.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$56.06
US$69.40
+23.8%
11.5%US$85.00US$63.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$57.71
US$69.40
+20.3%
11.5%US$85.00US$63.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$49.32
US$63.20
+28.1%
7.6%US$70.00US$58.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$52.36
US$63.00
+20.3%
7.9%US$70.00US$58.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$46.14
US$63.00
+36.5%
7.9%US$70.00US$58.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$39.20
US$64.20
+63.8%
7.1%US$70.00US$58.00US$43.275
Oct ’24US$54.26
US$73.60
+35.6%
8.4%US$80.00US$65.00US$44.815
Sep ’24US$60.40
US$73.60
+21.9%
8.4%US$80.00US$65.00US$50.545
Aug ’24US$66.06
US$72.80
+10.2%
10.1%US$80.00US$61.00US$54.105
Jul ’24US$56.51
US$73.20
+29.5%
9.5%US$80.00US$61.00US$50.055
Jun ’24US$55.28
US$73.20
+32.4%
9.5%US$80.00US$61.00US$53.945
May ’24US$59.41
US$73.20
+23.2%
9.5%US$80.00US$61.00US$51.925
Apr ’24US$60.42
US$75.00
+24.1%
10.4%US$82.00US$61.00US$56.065
Mar ’24US$64.28
US$75.00
+16.7%
10.4%US$82.00US$61.00US$57.715
Feb ’24US$75.28
US$76.20
+1.2%
11.3%US$88.00US$64.00US$49.325
Jan ’24US$65.29
US$76.80
+17.6%
9.4%US$87.00US$68.00US$52.365
Dec ’23US$72.67
US$76.80
+5.7%
9.4%US$87.00US$68.00US$46.145
Nov ’23US$59.67
US$76.00
+27.4%
7.3%US$80.00US$66.00US$39.205

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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