Stock Analysis

Is There Now An Opportunity In EVA Airways Corp. (TWSE:2618)?

TWSE:2618
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While EVA Airways Corp. (TWSE:2618) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the TWSE. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today we will analyse the most recent data on EVA Airways’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for EVA Airways

Is EVA Airways Still Cheap?

According to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 8.51x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 9.45x, which means if you buy EVA Airways today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe EVA Airways should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, it seems like EVA Airways’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What kind of growth will EVA Airways generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TWSE:2618 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 17th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -6.5% expected next year, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for EVA Airways. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? 2618 seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on 2618, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 2618 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystallize your views on 2618 should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for EVA Airways (1 is concerning) you should be familiar with.

If you are no longer interested in EVA Airways, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.