Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Nichidenbo (TPE:3090) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TWSE:3090
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Nichidenbo Corporation (TPE:3090) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Nichidenbo's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Nichidenbo had NT$1.76b of debt, an increase on NT$1.67b, over one year. However, it does have NT$1.22b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$537.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:3090 Debt to Equity History March 23rd 2021

A Look At Nichidenbo's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nichidenbo had liabilities of NT$2.99b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$118.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$1.22b in cash and NT$3.18b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has NT$1.30b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Nichidenbo has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Nichidenbo has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.66. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. But the bad news is that Nichidenbo has seen its EBIT plunge 10% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Nichidenbo's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Nichidenbo produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Nichidenbo's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its EBIT growth rate has the opposite effect. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Nichidenbo is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Nichidenbo , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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