Stock Analysis

Gold Circuit Electronics (TPE:2368) Could Easily Take On More Debt

TWSE:2368
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Gold Circuit Electronics Ltd. (TPE:2368) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gold Circuit Electronics

What Is Gold Circuit Electronics's Debt?

As you can see below, Gold Circuit Electronics had NT$6.37b of debt at September 2020, down from NT$7.48b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$4.03b, its net debt is less, at about NT$2.34b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2368 Debt to Equity History December 14th 2020

How Strong Is Gold Circuit Electronics's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Gold Circuit Electronics had liabilities of NT$10.5b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$3.26b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$4.03b and NT$8.05b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$1.68b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Gold Circuit Electronics shares are worth a total of NT$27.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Gold Circuit Electronics has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.63. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 18.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Gold Circuit Electronics grew its EBIT by 1,214% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gold Circuit Electronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Gold Circuit Electronics produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 78% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Gold Circuit Electronics's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. We think Gold Circuit Electronics is no more beholden to its lenders, than the birds are to birdwatchers. For investing nerds like us its balance sheet is almost charming. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Gold Circuit Electronics that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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