Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Compal Electronics, Inc. (TPE:2324) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Compal Electronics
What Is Compal Electronics's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Compal Electronics had NT$96.4b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$90.8b, its net debt is less, at about NT$5.51b.
How Healthy Is Compal Electronics' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Compal Electronics had liabilities of NT$308.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$13.8b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$90.8b and NT$194.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$37.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Compal Electronics has a market capitalization of NT$101.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Compal Electronics has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.37. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. On the other hand, Compal Electronics saw its EBIT drop by 7.4% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Compal Electronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Compal Electronics created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
Even if we have reservations about how easily Compal Electronics is capable of converting EBIT to free cash flow, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA make us think feel relatively unconcerned. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Compal Electronics is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Compal Electronics , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2324
Compal Electronics
Engages in the manufacture and sale of notebook personal computers (PC), monitors, LCD TVs, mobile phones, and various components and peripherals in Taiwan, the United States, China, the Netherlands, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.