Stock Analysis

Trigold Holdings (GTSM:3709) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

TPEX:3709
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Trigold Holdings Limited (GTSM:3709) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does Trigold Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Trigold Holdings had NT$2.00b of debt at September 2020, down from NT$3.18b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$679.9m, its net debt is less, at about NT$1.32b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3709 Debt to Equity History February 19th 2021

How Healthy Is Trigold Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Trigold Holdings had liabilities of NT$4.42b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$230.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$679.9m in cash and NT$2.75b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$1.21b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of NT$1.75b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Trigold Holdings' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Trigold Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 6.1 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. It is well worth noting that Trigold Holdings's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 39% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Trigold Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Trigold Holdings burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Trigold Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Trigold Holdings is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Trigold Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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