Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Senao Networks, Inc. (GTSM:3558) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Senao Networks
How Much Debt Does Senao Networks Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Senao Networks had debt of NT$45.5m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$90.0m over a year. But on the other hand it also has NT$2.18b in cash, leading to a NT$2.14b net cash position.
How Healthy Is Senao Networks' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Senao Networks had liabilities of NT$2.91b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$186.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$2.18b as well as receivables valued at NT$999.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast NT$81.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
Having regard to Senao Networks' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the NT$4.96b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Senao Networks has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
Also positive, Senao Networks grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Senao Networks's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Senao Networks has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Senao Networks produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Senao Networks has NT$2.14b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 22% over the last year. So we don't think Senao Networks's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Senao Networks has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TPEX:3558
Senao Networks
Engages in the research, design, manufacture, and sale of wireless communication products in Taiwan.
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.