Stock Analysis

We Think Mercuries Data Systems (TPE:2427) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TWSE:2427
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Mercuries Data Systems Ltd. (TPE:2427) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Mercuries Data Systems

How Much Debt Does Mercuries Data Systems Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Mercuries Data Systems had NT$1.06b of debt, an increase on NT$995.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has NT$322.9m in cash leading to net debt of about NT$737.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2427 Debt to Equity History January 19th 2021

How Healthy Is Mercuries Data Systems' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mercuries Data Systems had liabilities of NT$1.96b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$114.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$322.9m as well as receivables valued at NT$626.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$1.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Mercuries Data Systems has a market capitalization of NT$2.07b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Mercuries Data Systems's net debt is 4.7 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 85.3 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Also relevant is that Mercuries Data Systems has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 24% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Mercuries Data Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Mercuries Data Systems actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

The good news is that Mercuries Data Systems's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Mercuries Data Systems takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Mercuries Data Systems (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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