Stock Analysis

Is Nuvoton Technology (TWSE:4919) A Risky Investment?

TWSE:4919
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Nuvoton Technology Corporation (TWSE:4919) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Nuvoton Technology

What Is Nuvoton Technology's Debt?

As you can see below, Nuvoton Technology had NT$1.88b of debt at September 2024, down from NT$2.28b a year prior. But it also has NT$5.28b in cash to offset that, meaning it has NT$3.40b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:4919 Debt to Equity History November 10th 2024

A Look At Nuvoton Technology's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nuvoton Technology had liabilities of NT$9.10b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$5.51b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$5.28b in cash and NT$4.52b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$4.81b.

Given Nuvoton Technology has a market capitalization of NT$39.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Nuvoton Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Nuvoton Technology's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 78% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nuvoton Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Nuvoton Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Nuvoton Technology recorded free cash flow of 36% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

Although Nuvoton Technology's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of NT$3.40b. So we don't have any problem with Nuvoton Technology's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Nuvoton Technology has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nuvoton Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.