Stock Analysis

Leadtrend Technology Corporation's (TWSE:3588) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

TWSE:3588
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Leadtrend Technology Corporation's (TWSE:3588) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.4x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Semiconductor industry in Taiwan have P/S ratios below 3.4x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Leadtrend Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:3588 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024

What Does Leadtrend Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Leadtrend Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Leadtrend Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Leadtrend Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Leadtrend Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 17% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Leadtrend Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Leadtrend Technology's P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Leadtrend Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Leadtrend Technology that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.