Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that China Television Company, Ltd. (TPE:9928) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for China Television Company
What Is China Television Company's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Television Company had NT$2.41b in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had NT$131.0m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$2.28b.
How Healthy Is China Television Company's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Television Company had liabilities of NT$2.64b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$563.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$131.0m and NT$118.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$2.96b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the NT$832.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, China Television Company would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Television Company will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, China Television Company reported revenue of NT$767m, which is a gain of 4.6%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, China Television Company had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable NT$100m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost NT$27m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Television Company that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TWSE:9928
China Television Company
Produces, broadcasts, and distributes television programs in Taiwan.
Acceptable track record and slightly overvalued.