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Subdued Growth No Barrier To China Steel Corporation (TWSE:2002) With Shares Advancing 26%
China Steel Corporation (TWSE:2002) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.7% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that China Steel's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Metals and Mining industry in Taiwan, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for China Steel
What Does China Steel's Recent Performance Look Like?
The recently shrinking revenue for China Steel has been in line with the industry. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will continue to follow the rest of the industry. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't accelerate downwards if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think China Steel's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like China Steel's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 23% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.3% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 2.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that China Steel is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From China Steel's P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now China Steel's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Given that China Steel's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Steel.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:2002
China Steel
Manufactures and sells steel products in Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, China, India, and internationally.
Good value with proven track record.