Stock Analysis

China Steel Chemical's (TWSE:1723) Dividend Is Being Reduced To NT$4.00

TWSE:1723
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China Steel Chemical Corporation (TWSE:1723) has announced that on 9th of August, it will be paying a dividend ofNT$4.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. This means that the annual payment will be 3.7% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for China Steel Chemical

China Steel Chemical's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Based on the last dividend, China Steel Chemical is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 148% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 2.5% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 64%, which is definitely feasible to continue.

historic-dividend
TWSE:1723 Historic Dividend June 17th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was NT$7.40, compared to the most recent full-year payment of NT$4.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 6.0% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. It's not great to see that China Steel Chemical's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 2.5% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.

China Steel Chemical's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think China Steel Chemical is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Steel Chemical that you should be aware of before investing. Is China Steel Chemical not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.