China Steel Chemical Corporation (TPE:1723) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

China Steel Chemical's (TPE:1723) stock is up by 8.1% over the past three months. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on China Steel Chemical's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for China Steel Chemical

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Steel Chemical is:

10% = NT$657m ÷ NT$6.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every NT$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn NT$0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of China Steel Chemical's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

To begin with, China Steel Chemical seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 7.7%. Despite this, China Steel Chemical's five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

We then performed a comparison between China Steel Chemical's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 1.0% in the same period.

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is China Steel Chemical fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is China Steel Chemical Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 87% (implying that the company keeps only 13% of its income) of its business to reinvest into its business), most of China Steel Chemical's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the absence of growth in earnings.

In addition, China Steel Chemical has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 87% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that China Steel Chemical's future ROE will rise to 13% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that China Steel Chemical has some positive attributes. The company has grown its earnings moderately as previously discussed. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be quite low. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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