Stock Analysis

We Think Everlight Chemical Industrial (TPE:1711) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TWSE:1711
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Everlight Chemical Industrial Corporation (TPE:1711) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Everlight Chemical Industrial

What Is Everlight Chemical Industrial's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Everlight Chemical Industrial had debt of NT$3.54b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$4.23b over a year. However, it also had NT$1.34b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$2.20b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:1711 Debt to Equity History March 4th 2021

How Healthy Is Everlight Chemical Industrial's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Everlight Chemical Industrial had liabilities of NT$2.92b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$2.01b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$1.34b as well as receivables valued at NT$1.47b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$2.12b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Everlight Chemical Industrial has a market capitalization of NT$9.04b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt to EBITDA of 2.7 Everlight Chemical Industrial has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. But the high interest coverage of 8.1 suggests it can easily service that debt. Importantly, Everlight Chemical Industrial's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 65% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Everlight Chemical Industrial's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Everlight Chemical Industrial actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Everlight Chemical Industrial is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Everlight Chemical Industrial's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Everlight Chemical Industrial (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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