Chiu Ting Machinery's (TWSE:1539) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after glancing at the trends within Chiu Ting Machinery (TWSE:1539), we weren't too hopeful.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Chiu Ting Machinery, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.051 = NT$96m ÷ (NT$2.4b - NT$522m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Chiu Ting Machinery has an ROCE of 5.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 8.8%.
View our latest analysis for Chiu Ting Machinery
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Chiu Ting Machinery has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Chiu Ting Machinery's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Chiu Ting Machinery's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 7.2%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Chiu Ting Machinery to turn into a multi-bagger.
On a related note, Chiu Ting Machinery has decreased its current liabilities to 22% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, it's unfortunate that Chiu Ting Machinery is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. However the stock has delivered a 80% return to shareholders over the last five years, so investors might be expecting the trends to turn around. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 3 warning signs for Chiu Ting Machinery that we think you should be aware of.
While Chiu Ting Machinery may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:1539
Chiu Ting Machinery
Designs, manufactures, and sells bench top and stationery woodworking machinery worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.