Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Elektro Celje, d.d. (LJSE:ECEG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Elektro Celje d.d's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2025, Elektro Celje d.d had €69.8m of debt, up from €58.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Strong Is Elektro Celje d.d's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Elektro Celje d.d had liabilities of €24.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €94.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €724.8k and €16.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €102.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €58.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Elektro Celje d.d would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
View our latest analysis for Elektro Celje d.d
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5, Elektro Celje d.d uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.6 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Pleasingly, Elektro Celje d.d is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 132% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Elektro Celje d.d will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, Elektro Celje d.d saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Elektro Celje d.d's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Elektro Celje d.d is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Elektro Celje d.d has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Elektro Celje d.d (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.