Stock Analysis

Be Wary Of Terme Catez d.d (LJSE:TCRG) And Its Returns On Capital

LJSE:TCRG
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When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. In light of that, from a first glance at Terme Catez d.d (LJSE:TCRG), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Terme Catez d.d is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.042 = €5.2m ÷ (€155m - €31m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

Thus, Terme Catez d.d has an ROCE of 4.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 6.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for Terme Catez d.d

roce
LJSE:TCRG Return on Capital Employed June 29th 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Terme Catez d.d's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Terme Catez d.d, check out these free graphs here.

SWOT Analysis for Terme Catez d.d

Strength
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
Opportunity
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine TCRG's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • No apparent threats visible for TCRG.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Terme Catez d.d Tell Us?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Terme Catez d.d. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 6.5% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Terme Catez d.d becoming one if things continue as they have.

What We Can Learn From Terme Catez d.d's ROCE

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Yet despite these concerning fundamentals, the stock has performed strongly with a 71% return over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with Terme Catez d.d (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Terme Catez d.d is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.