Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Sunpower Group (SGX:5GD) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Sunpower Group Ltd. (SGX:5GD) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Sunpower Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sunpower Group had debt of CN¥4.11b at the end of June 2025, a reduction from CN¥4.30b over a year. However, it does have CN¥753.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥3.35b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:5GD Debt to Equity History September 3rd 2025

A Look At Sunpower Group's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sunpower Group had liabilities of CN¥2.19b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.82b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥753.9m in cash and CN¥1.15b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.10b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥1.85b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Sunpower Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

View our latest analysis for Sunpower Group

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Sunpower Group's debt is 3.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 2.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Another concern for investors might be that Sunpower Group's EBIT fell 15% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Sunpower Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Sunpower Group's free cash flow amounted to 25% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

To be frank both Sunpower Group's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. We should also note that Water Utilities industry companies like Sunpower Group commonly do use debt without problems. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Sunpower Group has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Sunpower Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:5GD

Sunpower Group

An investment holding company, engages in the investment, development, and operation of centralized heat, steam, and electricity generation plants in the People’s Republic of China.

Good value with low risk.

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