Stock Analysis

Does Excelpoint Technology (SGX:BDF) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SGX:BDF
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Excelpoint Technology Ltd. (SGX:BDF) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Excelpoint Technology

What Is Excelpoint Technology's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Excelpoint Technology had US$82.2m of debt in December 2020, down from US$104.6m, one year before. However, it does have US$39.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$43.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:BDF Debt to Equity History February 9th 2021

A Look At Excelpoint Technology's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Excelpoint Technology had liabilities of US$309.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$8.31m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$39.2m and US$172.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$106.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$45.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Excelpoint Technology would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Excelpoint Technology has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.2 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Looking on the bright side, Excelpoint Technology boosted its EBIT by a silky 61% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Excelpoint Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Excelpoint Technology actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about Excelpoint Technology's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Excelpoint Technology is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Excelpoint Technology you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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