Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX:M44U) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 12.8x, which is lower than the industry average of 16.4x. While M44U might seem like an attractive stock to buy, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before you make any investment decisions. In this article, I will deconstruct the P/E ratio and highlight what you need to be careful of when using the P/E ratio. Check out our latest analysis for Mapletree Logistics Trust
Breaking down the Price-Earnings ratio
P/E is often used for relative valuation since earnings power is a chief driver of investment value. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.
Formula
Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share
P/E Calculation for M44U
Price per share = SGD1.34
Earnings per share = SGD0.105
∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = SGD1.34 ÷ SGD0.105 = 12.8x
The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. Ideally, we want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar characteristics as M44U, such as size and country of operation. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. Since it is expected that similar companies have similar P/E ratios, we can come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios are different.
M44U’s P/E of 12.8x is lower than its industry peers (16.4x), which implies that each dollar of M44U’s earnings is being undervalued by investors. Therefore, according to this analysis, M44U is an under-priced stock.
A few caveats
However, before you rush out to buy M44U, it is important to note that this conclusion is based on two key assumptions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to M44U. If the companies aren’t similar, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you inadvertently compared lower risk firms with M44U, then investors would naturally value M44U at a lower price since it is a riskier investment. Similarly, if you accidentally compared higher growth firms with M44U, investors would also value M44U at a lower price since it is a lower growth investment. Both scenarios would explain why M44U has a lower P/E ratio than its peers. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing M44U to are fairly valued by the market. If this does not hold, there is a possibility that M44U’s P/E is lower because firms in our peer group are being overvalued by the market.
What this means for you:
If your personal research into the stock confirms what the P/E ratio is telling you, it might be a good time to add more of M44U to your portfolio. But keep in mind that the usefulness of relative valuation depends on whether you are comfortable with making the assumptions I mentioned above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for M44U’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for M44U’s outlook.
2. Past Track Record: Has M44U been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of M44U's historicals for more clarity.
3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
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Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.